Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5
000
FNUS74 KTSA 211304
FWSTSA

Spot Forecast for SHP II...BIA
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
804 AM CDT Thu Mar 21 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on March 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact NWS Tulsa at (918)838-7838, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Temperatures warm to near 70 degrees this afternoon with southeast
winds increasing this afternoon and evening 10-15 mph. Minimum
relative humidity values should remain above 50% today and
tomorrow. Low temperature near 50 degrees tonight. Rain showers
increase in coverage this afternoon and evening, with a low
potential for embedded thunderstorms. Light precipitation amounts
are expected (<0.1") except for potentially higher amounts in
thunderstorms. Low to medium chances of showers continue through
tomorrow afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Dewpoint............49.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (30163 knot-ft).
Stability class.....3.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).66.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........71  62  73  67  72  72  78
Weather cov.....        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............61  63  66  66  67  68  68
Dewpoint........48  49  50  50  51  51  50
RH..............62  60  56  56  56  54  52
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   7   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.10  10  11  11  11  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 2.9 3.7 4.4 4.4 4.3 3.4
Transp wind dir.E   SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
Transp wind spd.9   12  12  12  13  13  14
Vrate kt-ft/1K..30  30  49  49  49  49  49
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR
1700FT Mix T(F).64  65  66  67  68  68  68

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Dewpoint............48.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (49180 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (5245 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Stability class.....5.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).65.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........87  88  88  88  80  67  57  66  65  63  70  64
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............67  65  62  61  60  58  57  57  57  56  55  54
Dewpoint........50  50  50  49  48  48  47  47  47  47  47  46
RH..............54  58  65  65  64  69  69  69  69  72  74  74
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.13  12  13  14  12  11  12  11  11  11  10  8
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.16  16  15  16  13  12  12  10  12  9   9   8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..49  17  17  17  17  17  17  5   5   5   5   5
Ventrate Cat....FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
1700FT Mix T(F).67  66  66  65  64  64  64  64  64  64  65  65

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers early in the morning, then slight
                    chance of rain showers.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Dewpoint............48 increasing to 51 late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    north 6 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 8 mph shifting to the north 6 to 15
                    mph late in the morning, then increasing to 15
                    to 16 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5245 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (83278 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Stability class.....4.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).69.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........61  57  60  57  57  58  58  59  58  58  57  50
Weather cov.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............53  53  54  56  59  63  65  67  68  70  71  70
Dewpoint........46  46  46  47  49  50  50  50  50  51  51  51
RH..............77  77  74  72  69  62  58  54  52  51  49  51
20 FT wind dir..E   E   NE  E   E   NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.8   7   6   6   6   6   8   10  10  10  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.3 2.3 3.9 5.4 6.1 6.2 5.6 4.2
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   6   5   6   7   9   12  15  16  15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5   24  24  24  24  24  24  83  83  83  83  83
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD
1700FT Mix T(F).65  65  65  65  65  65  66  67  68  70  71  73

$$
Forecaster...M.RADA
Requested by...Forrest Blackbear
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408069.0/TSA
.DELDT 03/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL forrest.blackbear@bia.gov


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.