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000
FXUS65 KTWC 192122
AFDTWC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
222 PM MST Fri Apr 19 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Dry with seasonably warm temperatures will continue
with a return to winds on tap for the first part of next week.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Latest WV imagery continues to depict southwest flow over Arizona
and New Mexico ahead of an approaching upper level trough
currently over southern California. This feature will weaken and
progress east of the area by Saturday morning, with lighter winds
and high temperatures a few degrees cooler to start the weekend.

High pressure aloft will follow and build over the region
resulting in a couple degrees of warming to start the work week.
Another Pacific system will follow and move through by mid
week. There is increasing confidence that will be a dry system,
with winds as the main impacts from this feature Tuesday and
Wednesday. It`s that time of year, as yet another feature remains
forecast will follow late next week, with wind as the main
impact.

&&

.AVIATION...Valid through 21/00z.
SKC conds areawide through valid pd. SFC winds SWLY 10-15 kts with
gusts to 28 kts till 20/03Z then becoming terrain driven less
than 10 kts. After 20/18z SFC winds bcmg SWLY/WLY 5-10 kts through
end of period. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF
amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Dry with near to slightly above normal
temperatures into first half of next week. Minimum relative
humidity values in the afternoon between 8% and 15% each day
through early next week. Breezy winds today as a dry weather
system moves through. Otherwise expect typical diurnal wind
trends this weekend into the first part of next week.

&&

.CLIMATE...35 years ago today through Sunday, Tucson recorded the
earliest first 100+ degree high (today April 19) and the hottest
April high temperatures, 104 degrees, (Saturday April 20) which
was tied a day later (Sunday April 21).

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Public...Tripoli
Aviation...Tripoli
Fire Weather....Tripoli

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