Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 251929
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
329 PM EDT Wed Apr 25 2018

...Up and Down Temperatures...

.DISCUSSION...Milder again Thursday. However, another cold front
moving through Thursday night will bring in cooler temperatures
Friday and Saturday. Temperatures will then moderate Sunday with
much warmer readings expected early next week. Little
precipitation is expected through Monday (perhaps a few showers
late Thursday night) before better chances arrive toward the
middle of next week.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-260830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
329 PM EDT Wed Apr 25 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....21-26...except 28-33 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 80-85 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63...except 42-47 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........25-30 percent...except 51-56 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......28 percent drier...except 22 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (620).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....31-36.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and chance of snow showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....47-52...except 38-43 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent...except 60-65 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......23 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (320).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-260830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
329 PM EDT Wed Apr 25 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then
                    clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....23-28.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (50).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....59-64...except 48-53 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........23-28 percent...except 38-43 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......27 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (620).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....34-39.
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees warmer...except 9 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 77-82 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 3 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....50-55...except 39-44 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent...except 62-67 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......25 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (410).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-260830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
329 PM EDT Wed Apr 25 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....20-25...except around 30 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler...except 7 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63...except around 50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........24-29 percent...except 50-55 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......30 percent drier...except 18 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (610).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....31-36.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 80-85 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    northwest after midnight. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....45-50...except 37-42 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent...except 62-67 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (310).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.


$$

MIZ031>033-260830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
329 PM EDT Wed Apr 25 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2400, then
                    clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....22-27...except 29-34 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 15 percent wetter along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph shifting to the west around
                    3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........24-29 percent...except 38-43 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......29 percent drier...except 17 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (600).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....32-37.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 80-85 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 11 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and chance of snow showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent...except 55-60 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent wetter...except 17 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (500).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-260830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
329 PM EDT Wed Apr 25 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2400, then
                    clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....22-27.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........23-28 percent.
   24 HR Trend......26 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (700).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....34-39.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (560).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...WARMER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.

$$

AS


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