Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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000
FNUS71 KILN 231138
FWSILN

Spot Forecast for Gore Greendale Rx...USFS
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
738 AM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on April 23.
Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns
with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A slug of rain will slowly spread north today, but drying east winds
will inhibit the rain from pushing far into the Scioto River Valley
until later in the day. This drying pattern early today will not
stop or slow the expected wet pattern tonight into Tuesday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent), then becoming
                    cloudy (90-100 percent). A slight chance of
                    showers early in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......400-1500 ft AGL, increasing to 4900-5700 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 17 mph, increasing to 22 to 26
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 5. Very low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........41  44  51  54  58  67  72  78  90  96
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   10  10  10  20  20  20  20
Temp............51  56  60  63  66  67  68  67  66  64
RH..............60  54  52  49  44  39  38  37  40  47
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   7   8   9   10  10  10  11  10  9
20 FT wind gust.        11  14  14  14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 1.5 2.6 3.6 4.3 5.0 5.7 5.5 5.2 4.9
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.12  17  22  26  26  25  24  24  24  23
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). A chance of showers in
                    the evening, then showers likely after
                    midnight.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........91 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......East winds 7 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......3100-4600 ft AGL, decreasing to 2500-2600 ft
                    AGL late in the evening.
Transport winds.....Southeast 14 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 3 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........96  98  99  99  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  40  50  50  50  60  60  60  60  60  60
Temp............61  59  56  57  56  55  54  54  53  52  52  51
RH..............54  63  71  68  69  72  77  77  82  85  83  86
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..8   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.13  10  8
Mix hgt (kft)...4.6 4.4 4.1 3.6 3.1 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
Transp wind spd.20  16  14  14  16  17  18  18  18  18  17  17
Haines index....3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Showers likely until
                    late afternoon, then a chance of showers late.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......East winds 7 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......1700-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 17 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).60  70  70  70  70  70  70  60  60  50  50  50
Temp............51  50  50  50  50  51  53  55  56  56  56  56
RH..............87  89  89  89  92  89  86  80  80  83  83  83
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..6   7   7   7   8   8   8   7   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.        8   8   10  10  10  8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 2.0 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.9 2.7 2.5 2.3
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.17  17  17  17  17  17  17  16  15  14  12  10

$$
Forecaster...Franks
Requested by...Gwen
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807340.0/ILN
.EMAIL rsundberg@fs.fed.us,john.j.franks@noaa.gov



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