Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 211505
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for Buzzard Wildfire...NPS Big Cypress
National Weather Service Miami FL
1105 AM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 EDT on April 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure to the north, as well as a stalled boundary, will
bring an easterly general wind to South Florida. It will also
bring the possibility of some showers and possibly a few
thunderstorms to the area. However, the best chances are forecast
to remain north of the burn area until early this evening, with
only a slight chance of a thunderstorm overnight, and a chance for
tomorrow. The Gulf sea breeze is forecast to develop, but remain along
the coastal areas today, maybe pushing in towards SR 29 by this
evening. However, cloud cover and the easterly general wind may
hamper the development.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent)...then becoming partly
                    sunny (45-55 percent). A chance of showers and
                    a slight chance of thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming east 5 to 6 mph
                    early,...then becoming light late in the
                    afternoon...becoming east 5 to 7 mph late in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1700,...then 1-8 strikes.
Mixing height.......300-1400 ft AGL...increasing to 4900-5400 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....East 2 to 9 mph...increasing to 9 to 12 mph
                    early.
Dispersion index....5...increasing to 60.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0   15  15  15  51  51  51  51  51  51  52
Weather cov.....                                        CHC
Weather type....                                        RW
Tstm cov........                                        SCH
Temp............63  65  71  76  79  81  84  86  87  87  88
RH..............90  100 97  85  71  60  51  46  46  45  45
20 ft wind dir..NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 ft wind dir..050 080 070 080 090 070 070 090 070 070 100
20 ft wind spd..2   3   3   3   6   6   5   6   3   5   7
20 ft wind gust.    4   4   5   7   7   6   7   5   6   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 1.4 2.6 3.7 4.3 4.9 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.2   3   7   9   12  12  10  9   9   10  10
Dispersion idx..1   4   9   32  51  56  57  56  58  60  53
LVORI...........6   5   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  30
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent)...then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent)...then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). A chance of
                    showers in the evening. A slight chance of
                    thunderstorms through the night. A slight
                    chance of showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
                    in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 2300,...then No Tstms until
                    0200,...then 1-8 strikes until 0500,...then No
                    Tstms.
Mixing height.......2000-3600 ft AGL...decreasing to 300 ft AGL
                    until just after midnight.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....37...decreasing to 2.
LVORI...............9.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........52  52  48  48  48  51  51  51  51  51  51  51
Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH             SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW              RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH             SCH SCH SCH
Temp............87  84  79  77  74  72  71  69  67  67  66  66
RH..............48  53  64  71  79  87  90  93  100 97  100 97
20 ft wind dir..E   SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 ft wind dir..100 130 110 100 080 100 090 070 080 070 070 080
20 ft wind spd..3   3   3   2   3   3   2   3   3   3   3   3
20 ft wind gust.5   5   5       4   5       4   4   4   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 2.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.9   7   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3
Dispersion idx..37  17  4   2   2   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........1   2   3   3   5   6   6   7   8   8   9   8
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  20  20  20  10  10  10  20  20  20  20
LAL.............2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   2   2   2   1

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). A chance of
                    showers in the morning. A chance of
                    thunderstorms through the day. Showers likely
                    in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    early. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 0800,...then 1-8 strikes until
                    1100,...then 9-15 strikes.
Mixing height.......300-1300 ft AGL...increasing to 4600-4700 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 12 mph...becoming southeast 13 to 15
                    mph early.
Dispersion index....3...increasing to 41.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........51     61     61     63     76     76
Weather cov.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Temp............65     67     79     84     86     87
RH..............100    100    72     59     51     48
20 ft wind dir..E      E      E      SE     SE     SE
20 ft wind dir..080    080    100    120    130    130
20 ft wind spd..3      3      5      5      7      5
20 ft wind gust.4      5      6      6      8      6
MIX HGT (FT)....300    300    2300   3800   4600   4700
TRANSPORT WIND..E 3    E 5    E 12   SE 15  SE 14  SE 13
Dispersion idx..2      4      30     39     41     38
LVORI...........10     9      3      1      1      1
Chc of pcpn (%).20     50     50     50     70     70
LAL.............1      2      2      3      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Ippoliti
Requested by...Ody Anderson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1806261.13/MFL



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