Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Pocatello, ID

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476
FNUS75 KPIH 161016
FWSPIH

Spot Forecast for Shady...USFS
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
416 AM MDT Tue Jul 16 2019

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0500 MDT on July 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (208) 232-9357, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible,
both regionally and over the fire itself, this afternoon and early
evening ahead of a cool front that will cross the region this
evening. The best chance of storms will be between about 1 PM and
7 PM. Storms may produce gusty/erratic outflow winds of 35-45 MPH,
lightning, and small hail. Overall, chance of wetting rain at the
fire is low (so don`t hinge your plans on the rain helping),
although heavy downpours are possible immediately under storm
cores. Afternoon and evening winds will also increase out of the
west, with the strongest values on west-facing slopes and as you
go up in elevation. Winds should still drop off enough overnight
that local terrain-driven downslope and down-valley flows should
dominate. For Wednesday through the rest of the week, dry weather
is expected. Winds will increase each afternoon out of the west
and may reach critical thresholds each afternoon through Friday,
again highest on west facing slopes and near peaks/ridgelines.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
*                     Slight chance of rain showers in the morning,
*                     then chance of showers and thunderstorms in
*                     the afternoon.
CWR.................16 percent.
LAL.................1, then 4 in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 3 to 6 mph shifting to the west 6
*                     to 12 mph with gusts to around 18 mph in the
*                     afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
*                     near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3.
Rainfall amount.....0.04 inches.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
*                     thunderstorms in the early evening.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................2, then 1 after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 12 mph, decreasing overnight.
*                     Gusts up to 16 mph in the evening.
*                     Gusty and erratic winds expected
*                     near thunderstorms in the early evening.
Haines Index........3.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to
*                     around 25 mph.
Haines Index........3.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

$$

Forecaster...KSmith/Valle
Requested by...Central Idaho Dispatch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1912195.2/PIH
.DELDT 07/16/19
.EMAIL tallyn.donati@usda.gov,idcic@fs.fed.us,douglas.currie@usda.gov



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