Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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FNUS75 KPUB 270148
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for Park Creek...USFS
National Weather Service PUEBLO CO
748 PM MDT Sat May 26 2018

Forecast is based on request time of 0300 MDT on May 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY...

A band of high clouds over the fire site at 19:30 this evening will
continue to move east and  skies will clear by later this evening.
Some mid level moisture was moving towards the region per satellite
imagery, and radar was showing some isolated thunderstorms over far
western Colorado moving east. Likewise I expect humidity values to
recover somewhat tonight.

By early tomorrow morning, much drier air will be moving into the
burn area, and humidity values will once again fall into the single
digits by early afternoon. Winds will pick from the southwest and
become gusty by early afternoon.

For Memorial Day, humidity values will increase slightly, and winds
will be relatively light. However Haines values will still be in the
6 category over the burn area.


.DISCUSSION...

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....38-43F.
Max humidity........34-39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light wind.
Mixing height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....63-68F.
Min humidity........7-12 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light wind until 0900, then southwest 12-16 mph
                    with gusts to around 22 mph.
Mixing height.......2500 ft agl until 0800, then 11500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0700. excellent after 0900.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....38-43F.
Max humidity........25-30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 11 mph until 2100, then
                    light wind.
Mixing height.......7500 ft agl until 2100, then 3500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 11 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent until 1900, then very good until
                    2000, then good until 2100, then poor.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

.MEMORIAL DAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....62-67F.
Min humidity........9-14 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light wind until 1200, then southwest around 11
                    mph.
Mixing height.......3000 ft agl until 0700, then 13000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0700. excellent after 1000.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...HODANISH
Requested by...James Villard
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1810663.3/PUB


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