052
FNUS71 KAKQ 030945
FWSAKQ

Spot Forecast for Furnace town RX unit W...Maryland forest service
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
545 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on May 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service at 757-899-5734.

.DISCUSSION...
A backdoor cold front drops across the Eastern Shore this morning,
leading to cooler temperatures and gusty east winds. Temps will stay
around 60 today with RHs of 70-75%. Cloud cover will increase through
the day and overnight. Similar conditions continue through Saturday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (26600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................8 to 35.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........49  57  65  66  68  69  68  67  66  65  64  63
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............63  61  60  60  60  60  60  61  61  60  59  58
RH..............81  81  78  78  75  75  72  70  67  69  69  72
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..8   8   9   10  11  11  11  12  12  11  11  10
20 FT wind gust.13  14  15  16  19  19  19  20  20  19  19  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.12  14  15  17  17  18  20  20  20  20  20  18
LVORI...........4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............8   14  16  19  21  25  31  35  33  32  31  30
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5   7   10  13  15  18  21  24  27  26  25  23
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain overnight.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 14 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (18700 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (8700 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................10 to 26.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........67  70  74  77  79  80  82  83  85  81  82  84
Weather cov.....                                SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   20  20  20  20
Temp............56  54  52  52  52  52  52  52  52  52  52  52
RH..............77  83  89  89  89  89  89  93  93  93  93  93
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..10  10  9   9   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.16  16  15  14  13  12  12  12  12  12  12  11
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.18  17  16  15  15  15  14  14  14  14  14  15
LVORI...........3   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6
ADI.............26  15  14  14  13  13  13  12  12  13  13  10
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..19  14  10  10  10  9   10  10  10  10  9   9
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    early in the morning, then slight chance of
                    drizzle early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (23200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................11 to 28.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........85     87     91     92     90     88
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RAIN   DRZL   DRZL   DRZL   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20     10     10     10     10     10
Temp............53     54     57     58     59     60
RH..............89     86     80     77     78     75
20 ft wind......E 7    E 7    E 9    E 10   E 10   E 10
20 ft wind gust.12     13     14     16     18     16
Mix hgt (ft)....700    800    1000   1200   1600   1400
Transport wind..E 15   E 15   E 15   E 16   E 16   E 17
LVORI...........5      5      3      3      3      3
ADI.............13     11     17     23     28     27
Haines index....2      2      2      2      2      3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..9      10     13     17     23     21
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

$$
Forecaster...MITCHELL
Requested by...Lance Carroll
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413061.0/AKQ
.DELDT 05/03/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Lance.Carroll@maryland.gov