Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
317 FNUS53 KAPX 081941 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 341 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024 ...Cooler with another shot of rain Friday night into Saturday... .DISCUSSION... Generally quiet into Thursday although there will be light showers hanging around, especially southern portions of the area. Temperatures will be cooler as well area wide. Another shot for showers will exist Friday night into Saturday favoring areas southwest of Gaylord. Winds will be generally 5 to 15 mph out of the north and west through Saturday, then southerly Sunday into next week as temperatures warm. A couple of days will see min humidity in the 30s, Friday and Sunday, otherwise generally in the 40s and 50s. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-090845- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 341 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Min Temperature.....40-45. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 81-86 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......5 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 16 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (19). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .THURSDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Max Temperature.....57-62...except 50-55 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Min Humidity........40-45 percent. 24 HR Trend......20 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (678). Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Min Temperature.....36-41. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 80-85 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 1 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (26). Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Max Temperature.....59-64...except 49-54 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........33-38 percent...except 43-48 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......6 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (493). Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-090845- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 341 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Min Temperature.....40-45. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........92-97 percent. 24 HR Trend......4 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 16 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (25). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .THURSDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Isolated rain showers. Max Temperature.....55-60...except around 51 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........42-47 percent. 24 HR Trend......15 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (628). Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in . .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Min Temperature.....38-43. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 77-82 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (42). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Max Temperature.....59-64...except 49-54 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........34-39 percent. 24 HR Trend......8 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (622). Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ020-025>027-090845- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 341 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Min Temperature.....42-47. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........92-97 percent. 24 HR Trend......5 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (27). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .THURSDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Isolated rain showers. Max Temperature.....57-62...except 47-52 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Min Humidity........44-49 percent. 24 HR Trend......15 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph . Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (622). Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Min Temperature.....37-42. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 80-85 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (24). Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max Temperature.....58-63...except around 50 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer. Min Humidity........37-42 percent. 24 HR Trend......9 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (461). Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ031>033-090845- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 341 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Min Temperature.....42-47. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........91-96 percent. 24 HR Trend......6 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (35). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .THURSDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Isolated rain showers until 1200, then scattered rain showers. Max Temperature.....57-62. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler...except unchanged near the coast. Min Humidity........46-51 percent. 24 HR Trend......7 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph . Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (693). Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in . .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered rain showers until 2400. Patchy frost after 2400. Min Temperature.....36-41. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........89-94 percent. 24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (30). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Max Temperature.....58-63...except 51-56 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer...except 2 degrees cooler near the coast. Min Humidity........36-41 percent...except 45-50 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......13 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (525). Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-090845- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 341 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Min Temperature.....41-46. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........91-96 percent. 24 HR Trend......4 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 16 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (28). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .THURSDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Isolated rain showers until 1200Scattered rain showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....55-60. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........41-46 percent. 24 HR Trend......12 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph . Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (836). Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in . .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Patchy frost after 2400. Min Temperature.....39-44. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........84-89 percent. 24 HR Trend......1 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (43). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy frost until 1200. Max Temperature.....59-64. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........34-39 percent. 24 HR Trend......9 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (728). Mixing Height.......7100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. $$ JLD