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000
FNUS73 KDLH 251144
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Moss Lake Unit 3...USFS
National Weather Service Duluth MN
644 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 25.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Mostly sunny skies are expected today as high pressure persists
over the region. A few sprinkles are possible early this afternoon
with no accumulation expected. Winds will be from the south
today, shifting to the southeast late this evening. Expect winds
to become strong this afternoon, with speeds around 15 mph and
gusts up to 26 mph. Min RH for today was slightly increased for
the Unit 3 burn compared to nearby areas due to the close
proximity of Ten Section Lake. A lake breeze is not expected to
impact the burn site today due to the strong southerly winds.
Widespread rain arrives tomorrow morning and will persist through
the day. Breezy winds from the southeast are also expected
tomorrow.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of sprinkles
                    early in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 9 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 5100 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 18 to 26 mph increasing to around 28 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (18400-36200 knot-ft) increasing
                    to excellent (104000-119900 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....                CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............46  51  54  57  61  62  63  64  63
RH..............55  46  45  42  41  38  38  37  38
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..9   10  11  12  13  13  15  15  15
20 FT wind gust.15  18  19  21  22  23  23  23  23
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.6 2.1 3.2 4.4 4.7 5.1 5.0 4.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.18  18  20  22  25  25  26  28  28
Haines index....5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100018  26  36  61  98  104 117 120 113

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 13 to 14 mph with gusts to
                    around 23 mph.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL decreasing to 1400 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 29 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (60100-97000 knot-ft) decreasing to
                    fair (16900-27400 knot-ft) early in the
                    evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....                                   S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      10     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............63     60     56     52     50     48
RH..............39     41     47     52     52     56
20 ft wind......S 13   S 12   SE 12  SE 12  SE 12  SE 12
20 ft wind gust.23     22     21     21     22     22
Mix hgt (ft)....3900   1400   900    1000   1100   1200
Transport wind..S 29   S 23   SE 22  S 22   S 22   S 21
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/100097     27     17     20     21     22

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    likely in the morning, then rain showers and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1600, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 12 to 14 mph with gusts to
                    around 26 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 20 to 29 mph decreasing to around 21
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (20100-35500 knot-ft) increasing
                    to good to excellent (36700-61300 knot-ft) in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.18 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                                   S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40     50     60     70     80     90
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      2
Temp............45     47     49     49     50     50
RH..............62     63     63     66     68     71
20 ft wind......SE 12  SE 12  SE 13  SE 13  SE 12  SE 12
20 ft wind gust.22     23     26     25     23     22
Mix hgt (ft)....1200   1600   1800   2200   2300   2100
Transport wind..S 20   SE 25  SE 28  SE 31  SE 28  SE 23
Haines index....4      4      4      4      2      2
SDspl kt-ft/100020     36     44     59     56     42

$$
Forecaster...Woody
Requested by...Mike Klick
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412349.1/DLH
.DELDT 04/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Michael.klick@usda.gov