Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
996 FNUS53 KDTX 120803 FWFDTX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 403 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024 .DISCUSSION...A sunny start to the day gives way to increasing clouds by this afternoon, although dry weather is expected to hold through this evening. Wind increasing from the southwest brings warmer air and increasing humidity to the region today which persists through the early week period. The weather becomes active with showers and thunderstorms late tonight as a front moves in from the north and then stalls across central and southern Lower Michigan Monday and Tuesday. MIZ047-048-053-060-061-122115- Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee- Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint 403 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2 pm, then mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Max temperature.....64-69. 24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer. Min humidity........39-49 percent. 24 hr trend......17 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4810-5310 ft agl. Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the late morning and early afternoon, then increasing to around 20 mph early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (927). Pcpn amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of thunderstorms after 11 pm until 5 am. Chance of showers after 11 pm. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 5 am. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....55-60. 24 hr trend......17 degrees warmer. Max humidity........77-87 percent. 24 hr trend......10 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......South 15 to 20 mph becoming southwest after midnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......500-700 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (42). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of showers until 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms after 11 am. Rain showers likely after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....70-74. 24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer. Min humidity........48-58 percent. 24 hr trend......12 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft agl. Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1075). Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in. $$ MIZ049-054-055-062-122115- Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer- Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer 403 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2 pm, then mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Max temperature.....60-66. 24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer. Min humidity........41-51 percent. 24 hr trend......26 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph becoming south early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (679). Pcpn amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of thunderstorms until 2 am. Chance of rain showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....52-56. 24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer. Max humidity........78-88 percent. 24 hr trend......13 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......South 15 to 20 mph becoming southwest after midnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......980-1180 ft agl. Transport winds.....South around 20 mph becoming southwest after midnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (48). Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers likely until 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms after 11 am. Rain showers after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Max temperature.....68-74. 24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer. Min humidity........51-61 percent. 24 hr trend......14 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph diminishing to around 10 mph early in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3620-4120 ft agl. Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1162). Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in. $$ MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-122115- St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe 403 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Max temperature.....64-69. 24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer. Min humidity........33-43 percent. 24 hr trend......11 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph becoming southwest early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (800). Pcpn amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 am, then mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of thunderstorms after 11 pm. Chance of rain showers after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Min temperature.....53-58. 24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer. Max humidity........73-83 percent. 24 hr trend......14 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest after midnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (32). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain showers until 2 pm. Rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....74-80. 24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer. Min humidity........35-45 percent. 24 hr trend......1 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 15 to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......6740-7240 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1554). Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY...Cloudy with showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s. Northeast winds around 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northeast winds around 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. East winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. $$ BT