188
FNUS53 KDTX 101949
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
349 PM EDT Fri May 10 2024

.DISCUSSION...Trough of low pressure will bring showers early
Saturday morning and again Saturday afternoon. Minimum RH values
Saturday are expected to be in the mid 50 to mid 60 percent range
with northwest winds of 15 to 25 mph. Dry weather Sunday with
Minimum RH values in the mid 40 percent range.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-111415-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
349 PM EDT Fri May 10 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....58-64.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........33-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph becoming west early in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7670-8170 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph becoming west early in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (866).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 am until 5 am, then rain
                    showers. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph becoming southwest in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (23).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....54-60.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West around 10 mph becoming northwest 15 to 20
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3530-4030 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (982).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....40-45.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........85-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph decreasing to around 10
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (20).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-111415-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
349 PM EDT Fri May 10 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....58-62.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........32-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7330-7830 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (808).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers
                    after 5 am. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Min temperature.....42-47.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (15).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    until 11 am, then chance of showers. Chance
                    of precipitation 90 percent.
Max temperature.....54-58.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........61-71 percent.
   24 hr trend......31 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South around 10 mph becoming northwest in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3190-3690 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph becoming west in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (768).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....39-44.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........90-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......730-930 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph decreasing to around 15
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (33).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-111415-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
349 PM EDT Fri May 10 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....60-66.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........30-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7850-8350 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (962).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 am until 5 am, then rain
                    showers. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Min temperature.....44-48.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West around 5 mph becoming southwest in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph becoming southwest 10 to 15
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (13).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 11 am. Chance of showers after
                    11 am. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....58-62.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 10 mph becoming northwest 15
                    to 20 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4340-4840 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph becoming northwest around 30
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1222).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....42-46.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph diminishing to around 5
                    mph after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......560-760 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (30).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds around
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cooler. Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the lower 70s.

$$

CB