Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Quad Cities, IA IL

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Spot Forecast for IGH Rx...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
644 AM CDT Mon May 6 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on May 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the
National Weather Service Quad Cities at (563) 386-3815.

.DISCUSSION...

A line of fast moving thunderstorms will sweep across the
area tonight into early Tuesday morning.

Spring green-up continues with wet weather on an off in the
next week. Fire conditions will remain low.

The Grassland Fire Danger Index -GFDI- does not account for
precipitation that occurs or any snow on the ground. Please
make appropriate adjustments.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Begin/end of pcpn...None.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Max apparent temp...75.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Wind shift..........None.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 12 to 16 mph.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 17 to 24 mph.
GFDI................0.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........36  43  50  51  51  51  55  59  60
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............56  61  65  67  70  73  74  74  75
RH..............74  66  62  61  58  54  53  55  54
Aparnt tmp (F)..56  61  65  67  70  73  74  74  75
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..13  13  12  13  13  14  14  15  16
20 FT wind gust.18  18  18  18  18  20  21  21  22
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.8   8   7   8   8   8   8   9   10
Eye lvl wnd gst.11  11  11  11  11  12  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.7 2.4 3.0 3.5 3.7 4.1 4.6 4.6
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.18  18  18  17  17  20  20  23  24
GFDI............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Haines index....3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the evening, then rain showers and chance of
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 2300, then 1-8 strikes until
                    0100, then 9-15 strikes until 0400, then 1-8
                    strikes.
Begin/end of pcpn...Begin around midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Max apparent temp...74.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 8 to 12 mph.
Wind shift..........Gusty and erratic strong winds in/near thunderstorms.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 13 to 20 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after 3 am.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 16 to 25 mph shifting to the south 14
                    to 16 mph after 3 am.
GFDI................0.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........60     62     62     77     90     99
Weather cov.....                     CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     S CHC  CHANCE S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      30     100    90
LAL.............1      1      1      2      3      2
Temp............74     70     65     64     63     60
RH..............56     63     78     84     92     98
Aparnt tmp (F)..74     70     65     64     63     60
20 ft wind......SE 16  SE 14  SE 17  SE 18  S 18   SE 14
20 ft wind gust.22     22     26     29     26     21
Eye level wind..SE 10  SE 8   SE 10  SE 11  S 11   SE 8
Eye lvl wnd gst.13     13     16     17     16     13
Mix hgt (ft)....3800   700    600    700    1100   500
Transport wind..SE 23  SE 18  SE 22  SE 24  S 25   S 14
GFDI............0      0      0      0      0      0
Haines index....4      3      3      3      3      3

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Rain showers and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms early in the
                    morning, then chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 0600, then No Tstms.
Begin/end of pcpn...End by 5 or 6 am.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Max apparent temp...73.
Eye level winds.....South winds around 7 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 8 to 11 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Wind shift..........South to southwest later in the morning.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 12 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 13 to 18 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the morning.
Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 20 mph shifting to the west 22
                    to 24 mph late in the afternoon.
GFDI................1.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........92     78     58     38     22     12
Weather cov.....DEFNTE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC  CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).90     30     10     10     10     10
LAL.............2      3      1      1      1      1
Temp............58     59     64     68     73     73
RH..............96     100    84     67     49     45
Aparnt tmp (F)..58     59     64     68     73     73
20 ft wind......S 12   S 12   SW 13  SW 14  SW 17  SW 18
20 ft wind gust.18     17     20     21     26     28
Eye level wind..S 7    S 7    SW 8   SW 8   SW 10  SW 11
Eye lvl wnd gst.11     10     12     13     16     17
Mix hgt (ft)....600    1100   2200   3300   5000   6900
Transport wind..S 12   S 15   SW 17  SW 18  SW 22  W 24
GFDI............0      0      0      0      0      1
Haines index....3      5      5      5      5      5

$$
Forecaster...Haase
Requested by...Dale Maxson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413244.0/DVN
.DELDT 05/06/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0