Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 170800
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
400 AM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

...Showers/Thunderstorms today...

.DISCUSSION...Showers and thunderstorms are expected today. A
few of the storms could be strong to severe. Total QPF today
will range from a third to two thirds of an inch.

MIZ037>039-043>045-172030-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
400 AM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    until 2 PM. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    rain showers after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......near 100 percent.
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......43 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 16 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 17 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2700-3200 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....590-880 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.23-0.76 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 PM. Chance of rain
                    showers until 12 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....40-45.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 14 to 19 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....410-470 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2300-2800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....350-420 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-172030-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
400 AM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) until 5 PM, then partly
                    sunny (65-75 percent). Rain showers and a
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......near 100 percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 hr trend......39 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 13 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....390-920 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.39-0.78 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    partly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 12 AM. Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....41-46.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....420-490 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph decreasing to around 10 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....430-520 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-172030-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
400 AM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    until 2 PM. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    rain showers after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......34 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 19 to 24 mph with gusts to
                    around 34 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3300-3800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1120 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.09-0.48 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 2 AM, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min temperature.....42-47.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to around 30
                    mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    1700-2200 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-540 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2200-2700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....240-330 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-172030-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
400 AM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers and
                    a chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......35 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 16 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 20 mph in the afternoon. Gusts
                    up to 30 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 30 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1110-1120 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.23-0.66 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 46.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 14 to 19 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....540-560 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....420-520 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-172030-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
400 AM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers and
                    a chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......36 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 18 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 20 mph in the afternoon. Gusts
                    up to 30 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1160-1320 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.17-0.49 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 47.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-650 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....380-480 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers overnight.
Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. West winds 14 to
19 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. West winds 14 to
19 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. West winds
8 to 13 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 9 to 14 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper
50s.

$$
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