Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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Spot Forecast for Hoague Piles...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
857 AM EDT Mon Mar 25 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on March 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (616) 949-5150, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Mainly cloudy today with a chance of a sprinkle or very light shower.
Dry low levels will keep rain chances limited. Gusty winds from the
SE today to 30 mph. Widespread showers move over the area after
midnight tonight with 0.25 to 0.50 inches of rain expected. Showers
end after sunrise, with gusty winds to 40 mph developing. Additional
showers and storms likely Tuesday afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers.
Temperature.........39 at ignition...Max 59.
RH..................55 percent at ignition...Min 37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 11 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southeast winds 13 to 17
                    mph with gusts to around 30 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2500 ft
                    AGL.
Mixing winds........South 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....250 /fair/ at ignition. Max...750 /excellent/.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
Sky (%).........77     80     92     93     80     95
Weather cov.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Temp............39     47     55     58     58     55
RH..............64     51     45     38     38     45
20 ft wind......SE 11  SE 13  SE 13  SE 16  SE 16  SE 14
20 ft wind gust.20     25     27     29     29     28
Mix hgt (ft)....1000   1700   2300   2500   2500   2000
Mixing wind.....SE 20  S 23   S 23   S 27   SE 27  SE 25
Haines index....3      3      3      4      4      3
Smoke disprsl...250    390    540    750    750    500

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    in the evening, then rain showers overnight.
Temperature.........Min 47.
RH..................Max 90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 35
                    mph increasing to 40 mph toward daybreak.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southeast 35 to 40 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400 (good).
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers
                    at times with storms in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 58.
RH..................Min 55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 40 mph
                    decreasing to 30 mph late in the day.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........South 35 to 40 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400 (good) early in the morning increasing to
                    1000 (excellent) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Jeruzal
Requested by...Joe Raspotnik
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408369.0/GRR
.DELDT 03/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joseph.raspotnik@usda.gov


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