Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
240
FNUS53 KJKL 021951
FWFJKL
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
351 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024
.DISCUSSION...An area of high pressure will depart to the east and
southeast of the area tonight and Friday and allow a cold front
to approach. The front will gradually work across the area during
the first half of the weekend, while another front may move to
near the OH River and stall to end the weekend. A series of
passing disturbances will interact with these boundaries to bring
shower and thunderstorm chances this weekend. The stalled boundary
should lift north as a warm front on Monday, though another cold
front may sag toward the OH River Valley during the middle to
latter half of next week. Passing disturbances, the boundaries,
and daytime heating will lead to chances for showers and
thunderstorms at times, generally peaking each afternoon and
evening.
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-111-119-030830-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Beattyville, and Inez
351 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 70 80 80
Precip type None tstms tstms tstms
Temp (24H TREND) 51-66 (+13) 77-82 (-5) 55-65 75-78
Rh % (24H TREND) 63-100 (+2) 36-60 (+30) 87-100 52-64
20ftwnd-AM(mph) SW 4-8 G13 SW 3-7 G13
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 5-9 G14 Lgt/Var SW 3-7 G13
Precip duration 2 4 4
Precip begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.00 0.24 0.30 0.25
LAL 1 3 3 4
Haines Index (MID) 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 3000 3300
Transport wnd (mph) SW 12 SW 13
Vent rate (kt-ft) 30000 36300
ADI Early 3 39 5 37
ADI Late 8 38 8 42
Max LVORI Early 3 4 6 6
Max LVORI Late 4 3 8 3
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ068-069-080-084>088-114-116-030830-
Rockcastle-Jackson-Laurel-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Owsley-Clay-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
London, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg,
Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan,
Booneville, and Manchester
351 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 80 80 80
Precip type None tstms tstms tstms
Temp (24H TREND) 51-65 (+12) 77-80 (-7) 54-64 74-79
Rh % (24H TREND) 63-100 (+4) 46-56 (+34) 87-100 52-64
20ftwnd-AM(mph) S 4-8 G15 SW 3-7 G13
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var S 6-10 G15 Lgt/Var SW 3-7 G14
Precip duration 2 3 4
Precip begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.00 0.31 0.21 0.16
LAL 1 3 4 4
Haines Index (MID) 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 2600 3300
Transport wnd (mph) S 14 SW 13
Vent rate (kt-ft) 31200 36300
ADI Early 4 39 6 38
ADI Late 7 40 9 44
Max LVORI Early 3 4 5 6
Max LVORI Late 4 3 7 3
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ079-083-030830-
Pulaski-Wayne-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, and Monticello
351 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 80 80 60
Precip type None tstms tstms tstms
Temp (24H TREND) 56-65 (+11) 77-78 (-9) 59-64 76-77
Rh % (24H TREND) 73-100 (+1) 58-70 (+38) 90-100 56-69
20ftwnd-AM(mph) S 4-8 G14 SW 3-7 G13
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var S 6-10 G16 Lgt/Var SW 4-8 G14
Precip duration 4 3 3
Precip begin Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.00 0.38 0.13 0.11
LAL 2 3 4 3
Haines Index (MID) 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 2200 3000
Transport wnd (mph) S 14 SW 13
Vent rate (kt-ft) 26400 33000
ADI Early 4 35 7 39
ADI Late 7 36 8 42
Max LVORI Early 3 5 6 6
Max LVORI Late 5 3 8 3
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ110-112-113-115-117-118-120-030830-
Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Perry-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson,
Hindman, Pippa Passes, Hazard, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg,
Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
351 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 60 70 80
Precip type None tstms tstms tstms
Temp (24H TREND) 48-66 (+14) 79-84 (-4) 52-65 75-78
Rh % (24H TREND) 60-100 (+5) 34-49 (+20) 84-100 52-67
20ftwnd-AM(mph) S 2-6 SW 2-6 G13
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 4-8 G14 Lgt/Var SW 2-6 G13
Precip duration 1 3 5
Precip begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.00 0.21 0.18 0.34
LAL 1 3 3 4
Haines Index (MID) 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 4500 3200
Transport wnd (mph) SW 12 SW 13
Vent rate (kt-ft) 45000 35200
ADI Early 4 57 5 38
ADI Late 7 49 7 44
Max LVORI Early 3 4 6 7
Max LVORI Late 5 3 8 3
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. A chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. A chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the mid 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
JP