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000
FNUS76 KMFR 232245
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Bear Grun NC 3-7...BLM MED
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
345 PM PDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1600 PDT on April 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A disturbance will bring isolated showers and
thunderstorms to the area today. On Wednesday, there is a lower chance
for thunderstorms and showers (10%) with the shower and
thunderstorm activity likely staying to the east and south. Gusty winds
and small hail are possible with any thunderstorms that develop
today. The pattern will trend cooler and wetter Thursday through the
weekend. Rain is likely (60-90% chance) Thursday and Friday with
additional chances (20%) for rain showers on the weekend. There is
also a slight chance (15%) for thunderstorms Friday afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........28 percent. Humidities at or below 35% till 6 pm PDT.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds around 2 to 4 mph  with gusts to 9 mph.
                     Gusts to 18 mph near showers or thunderstorms.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph with gusts to 18 mph.
                     Gusts to 30 mph near showers or thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 mph.
CWR.................4 percent.
LAL.................1.

TIME (PDT)      4 PM
Sky cover.......PCLDY
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC
CWR.............0
LAL.............2
Temp............74
RH..............31
20 ft wind......NW 6
20 ft wind gust.8
Eye level wind..NW 2
Eye lvl wnd gst.3
Mix hgt (ft)....5300
Transport wind..NW 8

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 2 to 4 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west
                    around 3 mph overnight.
CWR.................4 percent.
LAL.................2 until 2000, then 1.

TIME (PDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............2      2      2      1      1      1
Temp............72     63     55     50     47     45
RH..............35     47     64     73     79     84
20 ft wind......NW 7   NW 3   NW 3   SW 2   S 1    S 1
20 ft wind gust.15     6      6      5      4      4
Eye level wind..NW 3   NW 1   NW 1   SW 1   S 0    S 0
Eye lvl wnd gst.8      2      2      2      2      2
Mix hgt (ft)....5200   1200   1200   500    500    500
Transport wind..NW 10  NW 8   NW 8   W 5    W 3    W 3

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........30 percent. Relative humidites lowering to
                     35 percent below after 2pm and continuing
                     low until 6pm PDT.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming northwest around 3 mph
                    late in the morning and in the afternoon.
                    Gusts to 8 mph in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 3 to 6 mph early in the morning
                    becoming light, then becoming northwest 5 to 7
                    mph late in the morning and in the afternoon.
                    Gusts to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 3 to 12 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

TIME (PDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............44     45     52     59     64     66
RH..............86     83     69     53     40     30
20 ft wind......W 1    W 2    W 2    NW 5   NW 6   NW 7
20 ft wind gust.4      5      5      7      10     14
Eye level wind..W 0    W 1    W 1    NW 2   NW 2   NW 3
Eye lvl wnd gst.2      2      2      3      4      7
Mix hgt (ft)....500    2100   2100   4000   5400   5400
Transport wind..W 3    NW 3   NW 3   NW 7   W 10   W 12

$$
Forecaster...CLARSTROM
Requested by...jesse kiene
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412062.0/MFR
.DELDT 04/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jkiene@blm.gov