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000
FNUS73 KMKX 151228
FWSMKX

Spot Forecast for Vernon Dog Trial RX...WI DNR
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
728 AM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on April 15.

Please contact the National Weather Service if conditions become
unrepresentative or if you have questions/concerns about this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will slowly move across the burn
area today. Light and variable winds this morning will become light
northwest toward noon, then north by the middle of the afternoon then
easterly just before sunset. Very low relative humidity is expected this
afternoon. Breezy easterly winds then develop on Tuesday with showers and
thunderstorms expected by late afternoon as a warm front approaches from
the south.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........64 at ignition...Max 71.
RH..................43 percent at ignition...Min 28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 4 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise north
                    around 6 mph in the afternoon, then shifting to
                    the northeast around 7 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 12 mph in the late morning and
                    early afternoon shifting to east to northeast
                    around 10 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /28000 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /44800 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   3   2   2   2   2   2   3   7   12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............52  57  61  64  66  68  69  71  70  67
RH..............66  57  51  43  38  34  32  30  31  34
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  N   NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   NE
20 FT wind spd..2   4   4   4   6   6   6   6   6   7
20 FT wind gust.5   6   6   8   10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.9 1.7 3.5 3.9 4.3 4.5 4.5 4.5 3.7
Transp wind dir.SE  S   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
Transp wind spd.6   6   5   9   10  12  12  10  9   9
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/10002   5   7   28  35  43  45  41  36  30

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Temperature.........Min 44.
RH..................Max 73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (23300 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (5000 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........16  7   8   10  11  13  15  17  18  19  20  26
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............63  59  55  52  49  48  47  46  45  45  44  44
RH..............41  45  51  56  61  60  65  65  68  68  70  70
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..8   7   6   6   5   5   4   5   6   6   6   7
20 FT wind gust.11  12  11  12  10  10  10  10  11  11  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.12  14  14  13  13  14  15  15  16  17  17  17
Haines index....5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100023  9   8   5   5   6   6   6   7   8   9   9

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the morning. Chance of
                    rain showers early in the afternoon, then rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 59.
RH..................Min 58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 11 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 18 to 26 mph increasing to 28 to 30 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (33000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........31  39  43  46  46  55  63  70  76  82  87  90
Weather cov.....                SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                        SCH SCH
Temp............44  44  47  50  53  54  55  57  57  57  57  57
RH..............70  68  65  63  61  59  59  59  59  62  64  67
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..7   11  11  12  13  14  14  14  14  15  16  17
20 FT wind gust.14  18  18  19  20  20  21  21  23  24  26  26
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.1
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.18  18  21  23  24  24  26  28  29  29  30  30
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/100010  10  18  24  27  27  31  33  33  32  32  30

$$
Forecaster...Gehring
Requested by...Adam Holcomb
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410867.0/MKX
.DELDT 04/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL adam.holcomb@wisconsin.gov