452
FXUS64 KOHX 301206
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
706 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 136 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

Some efficient rain is slowly moving across the area tonight.
Along with some pockets of heavy rain, it has been noisy at times.
Looking at MRMS QPE there have been a couple swaths of 1.5-2".
The band of heaviest rain has been progressive enough to not cause
any major flood concerns. The showers are quickly coming to an
end for locations along the Tennessee River and by 12z most
locations west of I-65 should be dry. The showers will linger
longer on the plateau with a couple scattered showers still
possible this afternoon. There will be plenty of sunshine this
afternoon and clear skies tonight. With a moist boundary layer
and calm winds, expect some areas of fog to develop after
midnight. After any fog mixes out Wednesday morning, sunshine and
warm temperatures will be the story of the day. Highs Wednesday
afternoon will be in the low to mid 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday Night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 136 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

The warm and dry conditions will stay with us one more day on
Thursday. There`s a chance a couple of locations including BNA
touch 90 Thursday afternoon. Dew points will be in the mid 50s
with a southerly 10-15 mph wind so it will not feel overly
oppressive. Our next chance of rain will be Thursday night into
Friday as a couple of shortwaves move through the mid level flow.
Widespread showers should come to an end Friday night with wavy
zonal flow this weekend. NBM PoPs seem on the high side for the
setup. A few scattered showers will be possible each day, but the
weekend does not appear to be a washout. Better rain chances look
likely Sunday night or Monday as a stronger shortwave moves
through the plains.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 703 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

Periods of low cigs continue across the area with SHRA moving
across the Plateau and eventually out of the area. All TAF sites
should return to VFR with predominantly northerly winds by 18Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      81  58  87  62 /  20   0   0   0
Clarksville    80  57  86  62 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     71  53  80  56 /  80  10   0   0
Columbia       80  56  86  59 /  20   0   0   0
Cookeville     74  55  81  59 /  70   0   0   0
Jamestown      72  53  81  57 /  80   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   79  57  85  59 /  30   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   79  55  86  59 /  40   0   0   0
Waverly        81  58  86  62 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Reagan
LONG TERM....Reagan
AVIATION.....Adcock