962
FNUS73 KUNR 022108
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for Pilger Mountain Fire...GPC
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
308 PM MDT Thu May 2 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 MDT on May 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Gusty westerly winds will continue through the afternoon.
Any isolated shower is possible, however there is very little chance of
wetting rain. Gusty and erratic winds are possible near any showers.
The wind will decrease around sunset this evening and then become northeast
overnight. There is a chance of snow showers and rain showers on Friday morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Isolated Showers.
                    Erratic and gusty winds possible near any showers.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........14 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 20 mph with gusts to around
                    32 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......13800 to 14300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 40 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (10-20 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 32.
Max humidity........Around 70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph early in the evening, decreasing
                    to 5 to 10 mph after 800 PM. Winds becoming northeast 5 to 10 mph
                    after 1000 PM.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......400 to 900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 25 mph shifting to the east
                    around 10 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent). Snow showers and rain
                    showers likely in the morning, then chance of
                    rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 51.
Min humidity........Around 36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 18 mph.
CWR.................40 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000 to 6500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.

$$
Forecaster...GR
Requested by...Great Plains
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2413040.0/UNR
.DELDT 05/02/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sdgpc@firenet.gov