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000
FNUS73 KDVN 261442
FWSDVN

Spot Forecast for Lost Grove WMA...DNR
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
942 AM CDT Thu Apr 26 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on April 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the
National Weather Service Quad Cities at (563) 386-3815.

.DISCUSSION...

Mainly dry conditions through the end of the work week.
The GFDI will be very high on Friday due to mild temperatures,
low RH and gusty northwest winds.

The Grassland Fire Danger Index -GFDI- does not account for
precipitation that occurs or any snow on the ground. Please
make appropriate adjustments.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Begin/end of pcpn...None.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Apparent temp.......29.
Eye level winds.....West winds 5 to 8 mph.
Wind shift..........None.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......1300-2000 ft AGL increasing to 5700-6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
GFDI..........Moderate.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........25     32     29     30
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0
Temp............61     66     69     69
RH..............39     29     25     26
Aparnt tmp (F)..61     66     69     69
20 ft wind......SW 5   W 5    W 6    W 6
20 ft wind gust.10     10     15     10
Eye level wind..SW 4   W 4    W 5    W 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.10     10     15     10
Mix hgt (ft)....3200   5700   6300   6200
Transport wind..SW 9   W 10   W 13   W 12
Haines index....3      3      4      4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Begin/end of pcpn...None.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Apparent temp.......35.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph.
Wind shift..........None.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......5600-5900 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 16 mph increasing to 12 to 18
                    mph after midnight, then decreasing to 5 to 7
                    mph early in the morning.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.
GFDI..........Low to Moderate.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........33     42     56     39     23     6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10     0      0
Temp............67     62     55     51     47     42
RH..............29     39     53     59     68     79
Aparnt tmp (F)..67     62     55     51     42     37
20 ft wind......W 5    W 5    NW 5   NW 6   NW 6   NW 5
20 ft wind gust.10     10     10     15     15     10
Eye level wind..W 4    W 4    NW 4   NW 5   NW 5   NW 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.10     10     10     15     15     10
Mix hgt (ft)....5900   3800   300    300    300    300
Transport wind..W 10   W 8    W 7    NW 16  N 16   NW 7
Haines index....4      4      5      4      3      3

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Begin/end of pcpn...None.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Apparent temp.......34.
Eye level winds.....West winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 15 to 20 mph late in the afternoon,
                    gusts 30 to 35 mph.
Wind shift..........West to northwest during the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 15 mph shifting to northwest
                    20 to 25 mph with gusts around 35 to 40 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300-1500 ft AGL increasing to 7100-7400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 10 mph increasing to 36 to 37 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.
GFDI..........Moderate to high in the morning, very high in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........7      6      3      12     27     46
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      10     10
Temp............39     45     56     63     66     66
RH..............85     68     47     35     31     32
Aparnt tmp (F)..34     41     56     63     66     66
20 ft wind......NW 5   W 5    W 6    W 9    W 11   W 13
20 ft wind gust.10            10     20     30     30
Eye level wind..NW 4   W 4    W 4    W 7    W 8    W 10
Eye lvl wnd gst.10            10     20     30     30
Mix hgt (ft)....300    1600   4100   6300   7300   7100
Transport wind..NW 3   W 7    W 14   W 21   W 29   W 36
Haines index....4      4      5      4      4      4

$$
Forecaster...Speck
Requested by...Kurt Cornilsen
Type of request...Prescribed
.TAG 1807967.0/DVN