Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 181926
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for C25 rx. Night...US FWS
National Weather Service Miami FL
326 PM EDT Mon Jun 18 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1700 EDT on June 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Showers and some thunderstorms are possible late
this afternoon into early this evening over the burn site. The
showers and thunderstorms should come to an end by late this
evening with dry conditions for the overnight hours tonight.
The transport winds will be light and variable tonight over the
burn site allowing for poor dispersion conditions. At this time,
we do not expect any fog develop over the region for tonight.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent)...then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Showers likely
                    and a chance of thunderstorms early in the
                    evening,...then a chance of showers and a
                    slight chance of thunderstorms until just after
                    midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms until just after midnight.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes until 2000,...then 1-8 strikes
                    until 0200,...then No Tstms.
Mixing height.......300-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 1 to 6 mph.
Dispersion index....5.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........80  80  75  75  75  52  52  52  39  39  39  27
Weather cov.....LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............81  79  78  77  77  76  76  75  75  74  73  73
RH..............77  82  85  87  87  90  90  94  94  97  97  97
20 ft wind dir..E   S   S   S   SE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  E   E
20 ft wind dir..110 160 180 160 120 100 110 120 130 120 090 070
20 ft wind spd..3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 ft wind gust.4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   S   S   S   SE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.6   5   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Dispersion idx..8   5   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
LVORI...........4   4   5   7   7   8   8   8   8   9   9   9
Chc of pcpn (%).60  60  40  40  40  40  40  40  10  10  10  10
LAL.............3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms through early
                    afternoon. A chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms through early afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 0800,...then 1-8 strikes until
                    1400,...then 9-15 strikes.
Mixing height.......300-1300 ft AGL...increasing to 2400-4000 ft
                    AGL,...then increasing to 4100-5200 ft AGL
                    early in the afternoon...decreasing to
                    1700-2900 ft AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 1 to 5 mph...becoming west around 5
                    mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....3...increasing to 16,...then increasing to 18
                    in the afternoon...decreasing to 11 late in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........27  27  44  44  44  51  51  51  63  63  63  69
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Temp............73  72  75  79  84  87  90  92  92  89  84  81
RH..............97  100 94  82  70  63  56  52  51  56  65  72
20 ft wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 ft wind dir..070 080 080 080 090 090 090 100 100 100 100 100
20 ft wind spd..1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2
20 ft wind gust.                4   4   4   4   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 1.3 2.4 3.4 4.0 4.6 5.2 4.1 2.9 1.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  S   SW  SW  W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.1   2   2   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Dispersion idx..1   1   2   5   11  17  20  22  14  15  14  11
LVORI...........10  10  8   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   3   3
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  50  50  50  50
LAL.............1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent)...then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent)...then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). A chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the evening. A chance of
                    showers until just after midnight. A slight
                    chance of thunderstorms until just after
                    midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    until just after midnight.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes until 2000,...then 1-8 strikes
                    until 0200,...then No Tstms.
Mixing height.......300-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 1 to 3 mph...becoming southeast around 1
                    mph after midnight.
Dispersion index....4.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........69     64     64     54     43     43
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Temp............80     78     76     75     74     73
RH..............74     82     90     94     97     97
20 ft wind dir..SE     SW     SE     E      E      S
20 ft wind dir..130    220    120    090    090    160
20 ft wind spd..2      1      1      1      1      1
20 ft wind gust.
MIX HGT (FT)....1300   300    300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..W 3    SW 1   SE 1   E 1    E 1    S 1
Dispersion idx..7      1      1      1      1      0
LVORI...........4      6      7      8      8      9
Chc of pcpn (%).50     40     40     40     10     10
LAL.............3      2      2      2      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Baxter
Requested by...Greg Suszek
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1811606.2/MFL



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