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000
FNUS51 KBUF 222034
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
433 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Expansive high pressure ridged across the area will keep dry weather
and light winds intact through tonight. A southerly flow will
gradually pick up overnight, with breezy to windy conditions
developing on Tuesday, but also warmer temperatures. The fair dry
weather will last through at least the first half of Tuesday, then a
slow moving cold front will produce a general soaking rainfall with
a quarter to a half inch of rain Tuesday night into Wednesday
morning. Dry weather will return for Wednesday night through Friday,
before chances for showers return for the weekend.

NYZ201-230800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
433 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed
Cloud cover                    Mclear        Pcldy       Cloudy        Mcldy
Precip chc (%)                      0            0          100           90
Precip type                      None         None      Showers        Tstms
Min/Max Temp                       34           65           37           46
AM Wind (mph)                                 S 12                     NW 10
PM Wind (mph)                   SW  5        SW 14        SW 10         N 11
Precip amount                    0.00         0.00         0.30         0.11
Precip duration                                               9            5
Precip begin                                               6 PM   Continuing
Precip end                                           Continuing         2 PM
Max/Min Humidity (%)               78           26          100           35
Haines Index                        5            4            3            2
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)             60         8210           70         4540
Transport wind (kt)              S 10        SW 31        SW 27         N 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 600       254510         1890        72640
Dispersion Index                    1          255            2           73
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-230800-
Southern Tier-
433 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed
Cloud cover                    Mclear        Pcldy       Cloudy        Mcldy
Precip chc (%)                      0           30          100           80
Precip type                      None      Showers      Showers        Tstms
Min/Max Temp                       33           65           39           46
AM Wind (mph)                                 S 12                     NW 10
PM Wind (mph)                   SW  5        SW 15        SW 11         N 11
Precip amount                    0.00         0.03         0.20         0.09
Precip duration                                  1           10            5
Precip begin                                  4 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                              Continuing   Continuing         2 PM
Max/Min Humidity (%)               78           25          100           53
Haines Index                        4            4            3            2
LAL                                 1            1            1            2
Mixing height (ft-AGL)                        7800           70         3750
Transport wind (kt)             SW  8        SW 29        SW 20         N 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0       226200         1400        52500
Dispersion Index                    0          226            1           52
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs around 60.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Northwest around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...East around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...South 10 to 15 mph.
WIND MONDAY...Northeast 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$