Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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FNUS71 KILN 281039
FWSILN

Spot Forecast for BDC Prescribe Burn...Franklin County Metro Parks
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
639 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on March 28.
Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns
with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Surface high pressure will lead to dry conditions and slightly
below normal temperatures today. A few sprinkles will be
possible tonight as a weak warm front moves into the region.
Dry and warmer conditions are expected on Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 51.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 10 mph with
                    gusts to around 17 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 14 mph shifting to the west 17
                    to 23 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   4   3   1   1   3   9   19  32  46  55
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............28  28  32  39  43  45  47  49  50  51  51
RH..............89  87  78  54  44  39  39  37  36  36  37
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   4   5   5   6   6   7   8   9   10  10
20 FT wind gust.        6   8   10  12  14  14  16  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.6 2.9 4.0 4.5 5.3 5.9 6.7 6.8 6.5
Transp wind dir.NW  W   W   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   10  13  14  17  20  22  22  23
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    sprinkles overnight.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 37.
Max humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 16 to 21 mph decreasing to 8 to 13 mph
                    early in the evening.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........57  59  61  64  66  68  70  70  69  67  65  65
Weather cov.....                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............51  50  46  44  43  42  42  42  41  41  41  40
RH..............38  40  49  56  60  61  66  66  70  71  71  76
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..8   6   5   4   4   5   6   6   7   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.13  10  6           6   8   10  12  12  11  10
Mix hgt (kft)...6.2 2.9 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.9
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.21  16  9   8   9   10  10  13  13  13  12  12
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    sprinkles early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 6 mph early in the morning
                    becoming light, then becoming west 5 to 10 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 15 mph increasing to 17 to 22 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........67  69  62  57  50  44  41  40  40  39  38  38
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............40  39  39  41  44  48  52  55  57  59  61  61
RH..............76  79  82  73  65  56  47  44  43  41  37  37
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   5   4   4   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  10
20 FT wind gust.7   6   6   6   6   8   10  12  14  14  16  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.3 2.9 3.5 4.1 4.3 4.5 4.6
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   8   7   12  9   13  15  17  20  21  21  22
Haines index....3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...Lott
Requested by...Logan Dunn
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408698.0/ILN
.DELDT 03/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL lrdunn@metroparks.net


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