Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 012006
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
406 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

...Low Humidity and Near Record Highs on Thursday...

.DISCUSSION...An area of high pressure will dry weather and above normal
temperatures to eastern KY through Thursday. Highs will be near
record highs on Thursday along with , with minimum RH values of 25
percent or below to many locations. Winds will be light, however.
Showers and thunderstorms enter the forecast by late Friday, with
chances lingering at times into Tuesday.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-111-119-020830-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Beattyville, and Inez
406 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            50
Precip type           None         None         None         tstms
Temp (24H TREND)      48-61 (+9)   85-88 (+6)   51-66        79-82
Rh % (24H TREND)      70-100 (0)   21-37 (-5)   65-100       34-58
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    Lgt/Var                   S 2-6 G15
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      S 2-6        Lgt/Var      SW 3-7 G17
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.07
LAL                   1            1            1            3
Haines Index (MID)                 5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 7400                      4100
Transport wnd (mph)                S  6                      S 15
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  37000                     53300
ADI Early             2            40           3            63
ADI Late              4            53           6            55
Max LVORI Early       5            7            3            5
Max LVORI Late        8            2            6            3

Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

KYZ068-069-080-084>088-114-116-020830-
Rockcastle-Jackson-Laurel-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Owsley-Clay-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
London, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg,
Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan,
Booneville, and Manchester
406 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            60
Precip type           None         None         None         tstms
Temp (24H TREND)      48-63 (+10)  84-89 (+7)   53-66        77-80
Rh % (24H TREND)      60-100 (0)   23-34 (-5)   67-100       42-61
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    Lgt/Var                   S 2-6 G16
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      S 2-6        Lgt/Var      S 3-7 G17
Precip duration                                              2
Precip begin                                                 9 AM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.06
LAL                   1            1            1            3
Haines Index (MID)                 5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 7500                      2700
Transport wnd (mph)                S  8                      S 15
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  52500                     35100
ADI Early             2            46           4            46
ADI Late              4            66           6            47
Max LVORI Early       5            7            4            5
Max LVORI Late        8            2            6            2

Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

KYZ079-083-020830-
Pulaski-Wayne-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, and Monticello
406 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            70
Precip type           None         None         None         tstms
Temp (24H TREND)      51-62 (+11)  85-88 (+5)   60-66        76-79
Rh % (24H TREND)      78-100 (0)   27-35 (-3)   73-93        50-67
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    SE 2-6                    S 3-7 G17
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      S 2-6        Lgt/Var      S 4-8 G17
Precip duration                                              2
Precip begin                                                 8 AM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.13
LAL                   1            1            1            3
Haines Index (MID)                 5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 7100                      2700
Transport wnd (mph)                S  9                      S 16
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  56800                     37800
ADI Early             2            47           4            43
ADI Late              5            73           7            49
Max LVORI Early       4            6            3            4
Max LVORI Late        7            2            4            3

Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

KYZ110-112-113-115-117-118-120-020830-
Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Perry-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson,
Hindman, Pippa Passes, Hazard, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg,
Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
406 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            40
Precip type           None         None         None         tstms
Temp (24H TREND)      48-68 (+14)  86-89 (+7)   47-72        80-85
Rh % (24H TREND)      54-100 (0)   21-31 (-7)   53-100       34-48
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    Lgt/Var                   S 2-6 G14
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 2-6 G15
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            3
Haines Index (MID)                 5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 8300                      5300
Transport wnd (mph)                S  6                      S 14
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  41500                     63600
ADI Early             2            39           3            73
ADI Late              4            57           6            60
Max LVORI Early       5            7            3            5
Max LVORI Late        8            2            6            3

Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.

$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms. Lows
around 60. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of thunderstorms. Highs around
80. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. A chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. A chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the lower 80s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

JP