Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL

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516
FXUS62 KKEY 061430
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
1030 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1030 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024
The Florida Keys remain in a region of weak, broad, mid-level
ridging extending from the Yucatan Peninsula to the Mid-Atlantic.
Meanwhile a strong, negatively tilted trough east of the Rockies
continues to progress eastward, and will likely produce a severe
weather outbreak across the Plains today. The 12z morning
sounding at KEY sampled a much shallower well- mixed layer than
was observed 24 hours ago. Now, there is evidence of a relatively
stable layer just above at 950-850 mb. It should thus not be very
surprising that KBYX Doppler Radar is detecting less in the way
of shallow shower activity across the Florida Keys marine zones
today than yesterday. GOES-16 visible satellite is highlighting
partly cloudy skies, allowing temperatures to creep into the
lower to mid 80s across the island chain. Outside of a possible
brief, isolated shower at a few communities, a dry forecast is
still anticipated today. No adjustments were made to the short-
term products.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1030 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024
Small Craft Should Exercise Caution headlines posted for the
Straits of Florida today. Additional marine headlines may be
required overnight for some marine zones. High pressure over the
western North Atlantic will maintain moderate to occasionally
fresh east to southeast breezes through midweek. Breezes will turn
to the southeast and south and relax later in the week, as the
high shifts southward and weakens over the western Atlantic.

&&

.AVIATION...
(15Z TAFS)
Issued at 1030 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024
VFR conditions will continue through the TAF period with sky
coverage fluctuating between FEW and SCT AOA 2k ft. Easterly near-
surface winds of 10 to 15 kts will occaisional gust to near 20 kts,
but the timing is virtually unpredictable due to the short and
sporadic nature of these afternoon gusts. Chances for any shower
activity remain low at 10 percent for both terminals.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Today`s sunset will be at 759 PM in Key West. Starting tomorrow, May
7th, sunset will be at 800 PM. The sunset will be 800 PM or later
in Key West until August 17th.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...BT
Aviation/Nowcasts....DP
Data Acquisition.....DP

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