Spot Forecast
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FNUS74 KLIX 201721
FWSLIX

Spot Forecast for GUIS Davis Bayou...National Park Service
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
1221 PM CDT Sat Apr 20 2024

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

We can be reached at (985) 649-0357 if you have questions or concerns
with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Early this afternoon, winds have shifted out of the south at the
prescribed burn location from a seabreeze boundary moving north.
Winds will remain out of the south today into the evening with
dewpoints in the low 70`s. Winds are expected to switch more from
the east late evening before midnight, then switch out of the
north at or slightly after midnight as a cold front passes the
area, increasing in speed into the day on Sunday.

Additionally, rain chances will be on the increase primarily
after midnight tonight into early Sunday, but can`t rule out an
isolated shower this afternoon.

Rain is looking likely it will exit the area around noon Sunday,
with dry conditions Sunday afternoon into the overnight hours.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    early in the afternoon, then slight chance of
                    showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........72 percent.
Dewpoint............69.
Max apparent temp...79.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height (m)...396-427 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 9 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South around 4 meters/second.
LVORI...............4.
Rainfall amount.....0.02 inches.

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........66  60  54  52  56
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  20  20
Temp............79  79  78  78  77
Dewpoint........69  70  70  69  69
RH..............72  75  75  75  75
Aparnt tmp (F)..79  79  78  78  77
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   8   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.10  13  14  14  14
Mix hgt (km)....0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   9   9
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   4   4
LVORI...........4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the evening. Chance of showers
                    overnight.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........95 percent.
Dewpoint............67 decreasing to 63 after 3 am.
Max apparent temp...76.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the
                    northeast 5 to 6 mph in the late evening and
                    overnight, then shifting to the north 5 to 7
                    mph after 3 am.
Mixing height (m)...213-427 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 9 mph becoming around 8 mph late
                    in the evening, then shifting to the northwest
                    5 to 10 mph overnight.
Transport winds m/s.South around 4 meters/second shifting to the
                    southeast 3 to 4 meters/second in the evening,
                    then shifting to the northwest 2 to 4
                    meters/second overnight.
LVORI...............6.
Rainfall amount.....0.04 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........64  66  66  70  77  79  81  83  84  84  84  85
Weather cov.....SCH                         CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW                          RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20  10  10  10  10  10  10  30  30  30  40  40
Temp............76  74  73  71  70  70  69  69  69  68  68  66
Dewpoint........67  69  69  68  68  68  68  67  67  66  64  63
RH..............74  83  86  90  93  93  95  95  93  93  89  90
Aparnt tmp (F)..76  74  73  71  70  70  69  69  69  68  68  66
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   ENE ENE ENE ENE NE  NNE N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..8   7   7   7   7   7   6   7   6   6   7   8
20 FT wind gust.13  10  10  10  10  10  9   10  9   9   10  13
Mix hgt (km)....0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.S   SE  SE  SE  ESE ESE ESE WNW WNW WNW NNW NNW
Transp wind spd.9   7   7   7   8   8   8   5   5   5   10  10
Trans wind dir..S   SE  SE  SE  ESE ESE ESE WNW WNW WNW NNW NNW
Trans spd (m/s).4   3   3   3   4   4   4   2   2   2   4   4
LVORI...........4   5   6   7   7   7   7   8   8   8   7   7

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers early in the morning, then showers
                    likely in the late morning and early afternoon.
                    Chance of showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Dewpoint............61 decreasing to 53.
Max apparent temp...69.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 8 to 14 mph.
Mixing height (m)...244-671 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 18 mph.
Transport winds m/s.North 4 to 8 meters/second.
LVORI...............4.
Rainfall amount.....0.11 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........86  86  84  86  86  85  85  85  81  77  72  67
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).40  50  50  50  70  70  70  60  60  60  50  50
Temp............66  65  64  65  68  69  69  69  69  68  68  67
Dewpoint........63  61  60  59  58  56  55  55  55  54  54  53
RH..............90  89  89  81  69  62  61  61  61  60  60  60
Aparnt tmp (F)..66  65  64  65  69  69  69  69  69  68  68  67
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..9   10  12  14  15  15  15  16  15  14  14  13
20 FT wind gust.14  16  17  21  23  23  23  24  23  21  21  20
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.NNW N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.10  15  15  15  18  18  18  18  18  18  18  18
Trans wind dir..NNW N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Trans spd (m/s).4   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
LVORI...........5   5   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...GILMORE
Requested by...Robert Vick
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411053.1/LIX
.DELDT 04/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL robert_vick@nps.gov,scworthi@gmail.com


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