Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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Spot Forecast for Riddle RX...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service Louisville KY
736 AM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on April 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A cold front will sink southward from central
Indiana to the Ohio River today. Scattered clouds will develop
this morning, and may grow into isolated thunderstorms by late
afternoon. The best timing for the most widespread storms looks to
be from 6pm to 9pm EDT.

Winds won`t be nearly as strong as yesterday, with transport winds
coming in from the west around 5 to 10 knots much of the day
before becoming more variable as the front approaches towards
evening. Humidity will be higher than yesterday as well.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent) then becoming partly sunny
                    (50-60 percent). Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Temperature.........63 at ignition...Max 87.
RH..................81 percent at ignition...Min 42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southwest at 4 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southwest winds 5 to 6
                    mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL at ignition...rising to 6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /3500 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /52900 knot-ft/.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................9 early in the morning increasing to 73 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0   8   15  57  57  57  57  57  57  57  8
Weather cov.....                                        SCH
Weather type....                                        RW
Tstm cov........                                        SCH
Temp............63  62  65  70  74  77  82  84  85  87  86
RH..............81  86  80  72  67  62  53  49  44  42  43
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..4   4   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.7 3.6 4.6 5.7 6.6 6.6
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.10  9   9   9   9   9   8   8   8   9   9
LVORI...........4   4   4   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1
ADI.............10  9   10  15  21  28  29  32  35  43  73
SDspl kt-ft/10004   4   6   10  15  21  25  32  40  53  53

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then chance of showers and thunderstorms early
                    in the evening. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms early in the morning.
Temperature.........Min 62.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph shifting to the south 6 to
                    8 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (39500 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (500 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................57 early in the evening decreasing to 3 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........15  29  59  49  50  74  70  62  68  75  68  75
Weather cov.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Temp............86  85  79  76  72  70  67  66  65  65  64  64
RH..............42  43  55  59  70  76  84  87  87  87  90  90
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  W   E   NE  NE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..4   4   4   2   4   2   2   2   3   2   2   3
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   4   6   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...4.9 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   SE  SE  S   S
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   8   7   6   6   6   7   7   8   8
LVORI...........1   2   3   3   3   4   5   6   5   6   6   6
ADI.............57  4   6   4   5   3   3   3   5   3   4   5
SDspl kt-ft/100040  21  5   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   4   4

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the morning.
Temperature.........Max 82.
RH..................Min 39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    morning becoming light, then becoming south 5
                    to 10 mph. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 17 mph increasing to 20 to 23 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (95800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................5 early in the morning increasing to 93 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........72  76  80  81  82  83  77  72  66  63  60  57
Weather cov.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH             SCH SCH SCH
Temp............64  62  64  65  68  70  72  74  77  79  82  82
RH..............87  93  87  87  78  73  68  62  54  49  41  40
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..4   3   4   5   6   6   6   7   7   8   9   9
20 FT wind gust.5   5   6   7   9   10  11  11  11  12  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.3 2.0 2.9 3.7 4.4 4.8 4.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   9   9   10  12  13  15  17  20  22  23  23
LVORI...........5   6   5   5   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............5   7   10  11  12  20  37  54  70  85  93  92
SDspl kt-ft/10004   4   4   5   8   14  26  44  63  83  96  93

$$
Forecaster...13
Requested by...Daron Reynolds
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410844.0/LMK
.DELDT 04/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL daron.reynolds@usda.gov


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