179
FNUS76 KLOX 142112
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for Big Pines (appletree unit)...USFS
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
212 PM PDT Tue May 14 2024

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Winds look rather light for Wednesday, however somewhat lower
confidence in wind forecast as there is the potential for gusty
west to northwesterly winds to develop Wednesday night. Therefore,
winds may be +/- 5 mph than forecast during this time. There
is also a slight chance of showers and a 5% chance for a brief
storm to develop Wednesday afternoon. Minimum relative humidity
will trend drier through the period, reaching the 20-30% range by
Thursday. Overnight recoveries will be good Wednesday night, which
should help limit the drying on Thursday.


.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Slight chance
                    of showers through the day.
Temperature.........60-62 at ignition, Max 67-69.
Humidity............37-40 at ignition, Min 25-28 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 1 to 3 mph at ignition,
                    becoming northeast 2 to 5 mph with gusts to
                    6 mph. Shifting to the northwest
                    3 to 5 mph after 1500.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 3 to 7 mph at ignition,
                    becoming northeast 5 to 10 mph with gusts to
                    12 mph. Shifting to the northwest
                    6 to 10 mph after 1500.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast winds 4 to 8 mph at ignition,
                    becoming northeast 6 to 10 mph with gusts to
                    15 mph. Shifting to the northwest
                    6 to 10 mph after 1400.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL at ignition, becoming 11900 ft
                    AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 mph becoming northwest 10 mph.


.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....54-56.
Max humidity........55-60 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 3 to 6 mph early, becoming
                    northwest to west 2 to 5 mph with gusts to
                    8 mph overnight.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 12 mph early, becoming
                    northwest to west 5 to 10 mph with gusts to
                    16 mph overnight.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest winds 6 to 12 mph early, becoming
                    northwest to west 6 to 12 mph with gusts to
                    20 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......9000 ft AGL early, becoming 800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph becoming 10 to 15 mph
                    overnight.


.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....68-70.
Min humidity........22-26 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 3 to 5 mph with gusts
                    to 7 mph early, becoming northwest 3 to
                    6 mph. Gusts to 7 mph possible in the
                    late afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 10 mph with gusts
                    to 15 mph early, becoming northwest 6 to
                    12 mph. Gusts to 15 mph possible in the
                    late afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest winds 6 to 10 mph with gusts
                    to 15 mph early, becoming northwest 8 to
                    12 mph. Gusts to 17 mph possible in the
                    late afternoon.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL, becoming 9700 ft AGL in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph early, becoming
                    northwest 10 to 15 mph.

$$
Forecaster...PHILLIPS
Requested by...BC-34
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413269.4/LOX
.DELDT 05/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL anibal.gutierrez@usda.gov