Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
210
FNUS54 KMAF 011725
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1225 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS, 20-FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR
MORE, AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR THE GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS, SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS, AND EDDY AND CHAVEZ COUNTY
PLAINS...
.DISCUSSION...
Critical relative humidity will continue for locations behind the
dryline through the period. This combines with periods of elevated
winds resulting in critical fire weather at times. A Red Flag
Warning is in effect for much of southeast New Mexico and the
Guadalupe Mountains due to this through this evening. Winds
weaken over the next several days but near critical fire weather
remains possible. Our next weather system on Monday brings
stronger winds and more widespread critical fire weather
potential. Recoveries remain poor to the west and good to
excellent to the east. Fuels are very dry across the west where
little rain has been received over the last month. There is the
potential for lightning starts, mainly over the higher elevations,
today and again this weekend.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-021200-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
1125 AM MDT Wed May 1 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 51 (-4) 83 (-3) 48 83
RH % (24h trend) 28 (+8) 7 (0) 35 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 18 W 13 W 14 W 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 15 W 15 W 11 S 13
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 42 28 26 20
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11620 12880
Transport Wnd (kts) W 18 W 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 209160 257600
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 6 3 3 3
RFTI Category Critical Near Crit Near Crit Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
$$
NMZ117-021200-
Chaves Plains-
1125 AM MDT Wed May 1 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 53 (-1) 87 (-6) 50 86
RH % (24h trend) 42 (-12) 8 (0) 63 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 18 W 12 SW 11 NE 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 12 NW 12 N 10 S 9
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 4 5 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 38 23 15 20
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11630 12830
Transport Wnd (kts) NW 17 S 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 197710 243770
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 5 1 1 2
RFTI Category Critical Elevated Elevated Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
$$
NMZ118-021200-
Eddy Plains-
1125 AM MDT Wed May 1 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (-4) 90 (-4) 53 91
RH % (24h trend) 48 (-7) 7 (-1) 37 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 17 NW 11 SW 14 W 7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 10 W 14 W 10 SW 12
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 4 6 6
Wind 10000 FT MSL 33 26 26 24
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11810 13600
Transport Wnd (kts) W 16 SW 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 188960 272000
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 5 3 3 4
RFTI Category Critical Near Crit Near Crit Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
$$
NMZ119-021200-
Lea-
1125 AM MDT Wed May 1 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Chance Precip (%) 10 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (-4) 89 (-3) 51 89
RH % (24h trend) 78 (-12) 7 (-4) 60 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 17 W 11 SW 11 SE 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 11 W 13 W 10 SW 11
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 4 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 35 23 20 23
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11510 12650
Transport Wnd (kts) W 18 S 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 207180 253000
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 3 3 2 2
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Elevated Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-021200-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
1225 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024 /1125 AM MDT Wed May 1 2024/
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM CDT /10 PM MDT/ THIS
EVENING...
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 53 (-5) 80 (-2) 52 84
RH % (24h trend) 26 (+9) 7 (-1) 21 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 23 W 21 W 20 W 11
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 23 W 24 W 14 W 16
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 3 5 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 37 29 26 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9140 12020
Transport Wnd (kts) W 22 W 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 201080 228380
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 6 7 6 4
RFTI Category Critical Extreme Critical Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s. Highs around 80. Minimum relative humidity at or
below 15 percent. Southeast winds around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
West winds 15 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
West winds 20 to 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds 15 to 20 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-275>282-021200-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
1225 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 55 (-6) 92 (+1) 52 94
RH % (24h trend) 66 (+7) 6 (-6) 34 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 13 NW 14 W 11 NW 7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 11 W 15 NW 8 SW 9
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 31 28 21 13
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10300 12380
Transport Wnd (kts) W 20 W 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 206000 198080
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 4 4 4 2
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Near Crit Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs around 90. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs around 90. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-021200-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
1225 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Clear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Chance Precip (%) 30 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 58 (-8) 93 (+3) 56 91
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+15) 6 (-28) 88 10
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 16 W 11 SW 9 SE 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 11 W 12 S 9 S 9
LAL 3 1 1 2
Haines Index 5 5 6 6
Wind 10000 FT MSL 27 23 19 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11460 8500
Transport Wnd (kts) W 17 S 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 194820 136000
Vent Category Excellent Very good
RFTI 2 2 2 0
RFTI Category Elevated Elevated Elevated Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 15 mph.
$$