Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FNUS74 KMOB 172239
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Desoto Block 6306 East...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
539 PM CDT Wed Apr 17 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1800 CDT on April 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Except for a few instances of very light drizzle,
dry conditions are expected to continue tonight and into Thursday
at the burn site. Afternoon relative humidity values will remain
well above critical thresholds tomorrow (around 50-60 percent).
Transport winds through tomorrow will generally be out of the
south. Dispersion index values tomorrow will be fair to generally
good (around 40).

Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy fog development is
expected tonight. Fog may briefly become dense around, or a little
before sunrise.


.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Patchy fog
                    overnight.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 9 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1006 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....42 decreasing to 6.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........88     85     77     71     72     80
Weather cov.....                            PATCHY PATCHY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............78     72     68     67     67     66
RH..............62     81     97     100    100    100
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      SSE
20 FT wind spd..10     6      5      3      3      2
20 FT wind gust.16     9      7      6      5      3
Mix hgt (ft)....3300   500    500    500    500    500
Mix hgt (m).....1010   150    150    150    150    150
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.14     12     9      8      7      8
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).6      5      4      4      3      4
Dispersion idx..42     8      6      5      4      3
LVORI...........1      4      7      9      9      9

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1189 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 2 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 40.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........85     84     77     78     74     66
Weather cov.....PATCHY
Weather type....FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............66     68     75     81     83     82
RH..............100    100    82     63     57     58
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..1      2      6      8      9      9
20 FT wind gust.       3      9      13     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....500    1000   2500   3100   3900   3500
Mix hgt (m).....150    300    760    940    1190   1070
Transp wind dir.SSE    S      S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.7      8      10     12     10     12
Trans wind dir..SSE    S      S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).3      4      4      5      4      5
Dispersion idx..3      9      29     41     40     38
LVORI...........9      8      3      2      1      1

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Patchy fog
                    overnight.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...183-1067 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 2 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....38 decreasing to 6.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........73     74     71     75     75     72
Weather cov.....                            PATCHY PATCHY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............79     72     69     67     66     65
RH..............64     81     93     100    100    100
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      SSW
20 FT wind spd..8      7      6      5      3      1
20 FT wind gust.13     12     9      8      5      2
Mix hgt (ft)....3500   700    700    600    600    600
Mix hgt (m).....1070   210    210    180    180    180
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S      SSW    SW
Transp wind spd.13     9      13     10     9      6
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      S      SSW    SW
Trans spd (m/s).6      4      6      4      4      3
Dispersion idx..38     7      8      7      5      3
LVORI...........2      4      7      8      9      9

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...183-1554 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 10 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 1 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 51.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky (%).........72           43           27
Weather cov.....PATCHY
Weather type....FOG          NONE         NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0            0            0
LAL.............1            1            1
Temp............65           76           87
RH..............100          74           45
20 FT wind dir..SW           SW           SSW
20 FT wind spd..1            5            7
20 FT wind gust.             7            12
Mix hgt (ft)....600          2600         4800
Mix hgt (m).....180          790          1460
Transp wind dir.SW           SW           SW
Transp wind spd.3            6            8
Trans wind dir..SW           SW           SW
Trans spd (m/s).1            3            4
Dispersion idx..2            20           42
LVORI...........10           3            1

$$
Forecaster...96
Requested by...Cliff Willis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411166.1/MOB
.DELDT 04/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL clifton.willis@usda.gov
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