Text Products for FWS Issued by PUB

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO
Versions: 1 2 3

000
FNUS75 KPUB 161228
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for Range 127 Fire...Fort Carson Fire Dpeartment
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
628 AM MDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on April 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

Northwest winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 mph will occur
through the morning hours, with the winds gradually decreasing
thereafter. However, although the winds will be decreasing, the
humidly values are expected to rapidly decrease by late morning
or early afternoon as much drier air behind this storm system
moves into the region. Clouds and a few showers this morning will
give way to sunny skies by late morning or early afternoon.

Dry weather is expected tonight and tomorrow.

Gusty 20 foot southwest to west winds are anticipated once again
tomorrow. Near critical fire weather condition may once again be
possible tomorrow.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy until 0900, then mostly sunny(30
                    percent). Chance of rain showers until 0700.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....71F.
Min humidity........9-14 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Northwest winds 22-26 mph. Gusts up to
                    40 mph in the morning.
Mixing height.......1500 ft agl until 0900. 10500 ft agl after
                    1000.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 22 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0800, then fair until 0900, then
                    good until 1000, then excellent.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........82  69  34  45  37  30  31  37  32  19  15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............42  44  56  60  64  66  67  69  69  69  70
RH..............70  70  37  25  22  20  17  16  15  15  14
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..18  18  26  26  26  20  20  20  21  21  21
20 FT wind gust.30  30  40  40  40  29  29  29  29  29  29
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.11  11  16  16  16  12  12  12  13  13  13
Eye lvl wnd gst.18  18  24  24  24  17  17  17  17  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 2.0 3.5 6.0 8.0 9.0 11  12  12  11  10
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.31  30  28  26  23  21  21  22  22  22  22
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/100018  48  88  137 164 162 188 216 216 208 188

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....43F.
Max humidity........38-43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 14-18 mph.
Mixing height.......8000 ft agl until 1900. 1000 ft agl after 2000.
Transport winds.....West around 11 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent until 1900, then fair until 2000,
                    then poor.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........13  9   4   6   5   7   4   4   4   16  29  45
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............67  64  60  54  53  51  49  48  47  46  46  45
RH..............16  18  22  28  31  33  37  39  40  41  41  43
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..18  18  18  15  15  15  12  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.28  28  28  23  23  23  18  18  18  15  15  15
Eye lvl wnd dir.W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Eye lvl wnd spd.11  11  11  9   9   9   7   7   7   7   7   7
Eye lvl wnd gst.17  17  17  14  14  14  11  11  11  9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...8.0 3.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  W   NW  NW  W   NW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.22  18  14  15  15  13  12  12  10  12  12  12
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/1000150 53  12  9   8   6   5   5   5   5   5   5

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(30 percent).
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....75F.
Min humidity........7-12 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 18-22 mph with gusts to around 35
                    mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft agl until 0900. 10500 ft agl after
                    1000.
Transport winds.....West around 26 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0700. Excellent after 1200.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........38  36  34  32  29  25  22  24  26  28  26  23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............44  46  51  56  63  66  70  71  73  74  74  73
RH..............43  41  34  28  21  17  15  14  13  12  12  13
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   17  17  17  22  22  22  22  22  22
20 FT wind gust.16  16  16  26  26  26  33  33  33  35  35  35
Eye lvl wnd dir.W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   5   5   10  10  10  13  13  13  13  13  13
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  10  16  16  16  20  20  20  21  21  21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.0 3.0 5.0 7.0 9.0 9.5 11  12  11  10
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.10  10  12  16  18  23  26  28  28  29  28  26
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/10005   5   10  42  82  140 204 230 257 285 256 228

$$
Forecaster...HODANISH
Requested by...Mark Anderson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2411087.0/PUB
.DELDT 04/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
