Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 280558
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1258 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 916 PM GMT Wed Mar 27 2024

Looking at observations versus the inherited forecast and I don`t
see too many things needed to change right now other than a few
minor adjustments for current trends. Otherwise looks for skies to
clear overnight with temperatures ranging from the mid 30s to mid
40s across the region. /33/

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday Night)
Issued at 245 PM GMT Wed Mar 27 2024

Relatively quiet and cooler than normal weather will continue
through the next 36 hours across the Four State Region. This is
due to post-frontal surface ridging that will gradually make its
way south from the Great Plains, maintaining northeasterly winds.
Cloud cover will continue to slowly decrease after a shortwave
passes eastward, allowing for temperature maximums in the
upper 60s/70s and minimums in the 30s/40s. /16/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 245 PM GMT Wed Mar 27 2024

Even quieter weather is expected through the weekend before some
chances of precipitation arrive early next week. This is due to
surface ridging that continues to linger across the Four State
Region before shifting east across the Mississippi River. By
Saturday, southerly surface winds return, boosting warm air
advection and gradual warming trends toward temperature maximums
in the 80s (above average for this time of the year) as a result.
By Monday, the next trough and frontal boundary will be on its way
across Great Plains to introduce the next chance of rain through
the day into Tuesday. That said, paltry precipitation amounts are
still expected with Day 1-7 QPF values in the 0.10 to 0.50-inch
territory areawide. Post-frontal temperature maximums and
minimums by the middle of next week will return to the 70s and 50s
respectively (still slightly above normal for this time of the
year). /16/

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1246 AM GMT Thu Mar 28 2024

A mix of SCT/BKN at FL250 is present across the airspace tonight,
moving off to the east. This will continue to work out of the
airspace through the morning, with SKC returning by the afternoon
for most terminals. Guidance suggests a FEW/SCT CU field below
FL100 across east Texas terminals near 00z as sfc winds turn more
south to southwest with high pressure east of the airspace.
Nonetheless, VFR will prevail through the period.

RK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  71  51  79  58 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  68  43  76  54 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  68  44  75  53 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  69  49  77  57 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  69  44  75  53 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  71  53  77  59 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  71  51  78  58 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  74  50  79  57 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...53


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