Spot Forecast
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194
FNUS72 KTAE 010715
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for BP 11D...DEP / ORCP / St. Joseph Bay State Buffer
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
315 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on May 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
The main concerns today will be fairly low dispersion values
due to low mixing heights along the coast, as well as a low chance
of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. Otherwise, relative
humidity values will remain well above critical thresholds. Areas
of fog are also likely tonight into Thursday morning.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........60  59  51  49  52  52  52  43
Weather cov.....                SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   10  10  10  20  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
Temp............74  77  77  78  79  79  79  78
RH..............90  82  82  79  77  79  77  79
20 FT wind dir..NW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   3   5   6   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.5   6   7   9   10  10  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.3   5   7   9   10  12  12  12
Dispersion......4   6   9   13  16  16  16  14
LVORI...........6   5   5   5   4   4   4   5

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........44  45  33  38  47  55  57  57  57  59  59  61
Weather cov.....SCH SCH             ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS
Weather type....RW  RW              FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........SCH SCH
CWR.............20  20  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............76  75  74  73  72  71  70  70  69  69  68  68
RH..............85  84  87  90  93  97  100 97  100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  N
20 FT wind spd..7   6   5   5   3   2   3   3   3   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.12  10  8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  N   N
Transp wind spd.10  9   8   7   7   6   5   5   3   3   3   3
Dispersion......13  12  5   4   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........5   5   6   7   8   8   9   9   9   9   10  9

.THURSDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........62  65  70  63  56  49  42  41  39  37  32  29
Weather cov.....ARS ARS
Weather type....FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............67  66  67  71  74  76  78  79  79  79  78  78
RH..............100 100 100 93  87  79  76  74  74  74  74  74
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   5   5   6   7   8   8   9   8
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   7   8   9   10  12  12  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.1
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.3   3   5   6   6   7   9   10  12  12  12  12
Dispersion......2   2   5   6   8   11  14  17  19  18  17  15
LVORI...........9   9   8   7   5   4   4   4   3   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...DVD
Requested by...Dylan Shoemaker
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412822.0/TAE
.DELDT 05/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dylan.shoemaker@floridadep.gov