Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 210904
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
404 AM CDT Sat Apr 21 2018

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

A low pressure system is currently just northwest of the Texas
Panhandle and moving east, while a dry-line is located from Big Bend
northward through Midland and extreme eastern New Mexico. Also, A
1009 mb surface low was near Lubbock. Dewpoints over West Central
Texas are up into the mid to upper 50s for Concho Valley and the
Northern Edwards Plateau, and in the low 50s to upper 40s elsewhere,
with southeast winds generally 5-15 mph. Areas of light rain are
being reported over the region this morning, with radar showing a
few heavier showers/isolated thunderstorms up in the Big Country.
Rainfall amounts have been light so far... at generally 0.01-0.03
inches.

The low pressure system will continue to move east today,
with the dry-line and surface low pushing east as well. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue to develop ahead of
and along the dry-line as it moves through today with gusty westerly
winds and much drier air/clear skies pushing in behind it. The Big
Country looks to get the most amount of rain today, generally 0.10-
0.25 inches, while about 0.05-0.10 inches expected elsewhere. The
westerly downsloping winds will actually bring a warm-up mainly to
locations south of the Big Country, with highs reaching the low to
mid 80s, while the Big Country will have highs in the low to mid
70s, and perhaps only into the upper 60s. Precipitation will end in
most locations by 7 pm today except possibly in the Heartland region
where hi-res models show some wrap-around precip in the evening.
This evening, a cold front will move down from the north, bringing
gusty north winds, low clouds, and overnight lows in the mid to
upper 40s.

SJH

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)

Mild temperatures and dry conditions expected for Sunday as a
surface high builds in behind the cold front. Afternoon highs will
climb into the 70s, with lows dropping into the 40s Sunday night.
Next week should remain a little on the cool side as another
upper trough drops southeastward out of the Four Corners into the
Panhandle and Oklahoma Tuesday into Wednesday. A cold front will
move through the area late Tuesday, with another chance of showers
and a few thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon through much of Wednesday.
After highs warm into the 80s Tuesday, we will be back into the
cooler 60s and 70s for Wednesday and Thursday. An active pattern
continues as we head toward the weekend with yet another upper
trough diving southward into New Mexico and across West Texas by
Thursday night and Friday with another chance of storms.

08

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  75  45  69  46 /  50   5   0   0
San Angelo  82  47  73  49 /  30   5   0   5
Junction  82  50  76  49 /  30   5   0   5
Brownwood  77  48  70  47 /  60  20   0   0
Sweetwater  76  45  69  48 /  30   5   0   0
Ozona       82  47  74  49 /  20   0   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$


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