Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Fairbanks, AK

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Spot Forecast for YTA Grass RX...BLM
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1235 PM AKDT Sat May 19 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 AKDT on May 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A warm front over the fire area this morning will move north of the
fire this afternoon. Isolated thunderstorms will occur near the fire
area this afternoon. A low pressure system will approach the fire area
from the southeast on Sun evening bringing a better chance for showers.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Scattered showers
                    and isolated thunderstorms.
CWR.................15 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......South 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 mph.
INVERSION BURNOFF...10 am.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40 percent). Isolated thunderstorms in
the early evening.
CWR.................5 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 mph. Gusts to 15 mph in the evening.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
                    Winds decrease to 5 mph after midnight.
Ridgetop wind.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL after midnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
INVERSION SETUP.....10 pm.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Increasing clouds. (70 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers in the late afternoon and evening.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast 10 mph. Gusts 20 mph in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 10 mph. Gusts 20 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL increasing to 8000 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 mph.
INVERSION BURNOFF...9am.


$$
Forecaster...BRADER
Requested by...Russ Long
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1810299.0/AFG
.DELDT 05/19/18



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