Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 201051
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for Buzzard Wildfire...Big Cypress
National Weather Service Miami FL
651 AM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 EDT on April 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
The weather will remain dry today over the burn site with some
patchy fog early this morning. The winds will be light and
variable for most of the day over the burn site which in turn will
keep the dispersion value in the lower to mid 20s this afternoon.
The relative humidity will also fall down to around 30 percent
this afternoon over the burn site.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy fog early in the
                    morning.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Mixing height.......300-2000 ft AGL...increasing to 5000-6000 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 2 to 5 mph...becoming west around 3
                    mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....5...increasing to 24.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   5   5   5   7   7   7   4   4   4   13
Weather cov.....PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Temp............64  66  68  74  79  85  90  92  93  92  92
RH..............83  82  81  71  57  47  38  33  31  31  30
20 ft wind dir..NW  NW  NW  N   N   NE  E   E   E   SE  SE
20 ft wind dir..310 320 330 000 010 030 080 100 110 130 140
20 ft wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
20 ft wind gust.            4   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 1.1 2.0 2.8 3.9 5.0 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.2   2   3   3   5   3   3   3   3   3   3
Dispersion idx..1   3   5   9   14  18  21  24  23  23  23
LVORI...........5   5   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Mixing height.......2100-4000 ft AGL...decreasing to 300 ft AGL
                    until just after midnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 3 mph...becoming east 2 to 3
                    mph.
Dispersion index....14...decreasing to 2 until just after midnight.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........13  13  36  36  36  42  42  42  32  32  32  44
Weather cov.....                                            PTY
Weather type....                                            FOG
Tstm cov........
Temp............89  85  80  77  74  72  70  68  67  66  65  65
RH..............35  41  52  60  69  76  81  87  90  93  93  93
20 ft wind dir..SE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E
20 ft wind dir..130 110 100 110 120 130 120 110 100 100 090 080
20 ft wind spd..2   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3
20 ft wind gust.    4   4   4   4   4   4               4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...4.0 2.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3
Dispersion idx..17  10  2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
LVORI...........2   2   2   3   3   4   5   6   7   7   7   7
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. A slight chance of showers
                    early. A chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming east 5 to 8 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1400,...then 9-15 strikes.
Mixing height.......300-1600 ft AGL...increasing to 5300-5900 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....East 2 to 9 mph...increasing to 9 to 13 mph
                    early.
Dispersion index....3...increasing to 12 late in the
                    morning,...then increasing to 33...increasing
                    to 57 early...decreasing to 47.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........44     51     51     39     51     51
Weather cov.....PATCHY PATCHY        S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....FOG    FOG    NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            CHANCE CHANCE
Temp............64     67     82     87     90     90
RH..............100    97     58     48     41     41
20 ft wind dir..E      E      E      E      E      E
20 ft wind dir..080    080    090    090    100    090
20 ft wind spd..3      3      5      7      8      8
20 ft wind gust.4      4      6      8      10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....300    300    2900   4700   5900   5900
TRANSPORT WIND..E 3    E 3    E 9    E 12   E 9    E 12
Dispersion idx..1      4      33     59     45     50
LVORI...........10     8      1      1      1      1
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     20     40     40
LAL.............1      1      1      1      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Baxter
Requested by...Jay thatcher
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1806261.12/MFL


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