Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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000
FNUS71 KPHI 231138
FWSPHI

Spot Forecast for Barret Twp. Fire...DCNR
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
738 AM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

Forecast is based on request time of 0800 EDT on April 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions are expected again today, with RH values forecast
to drop below 30 percent by this afternoon. However, winds are
forecast to be 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 15 mph.

Should winds be stronger than projected, a special weather
statement will likely be required indicating the increased
potential for wildfires.

Large high pressure over the Northeast United States will
continue to move east today and then move off the New England
coast tonight. Low pressure over the Gulf Coast states will lift
to the north and east and affect the Mid-Atlantic region during
the mid-week period, with wetting rains anticipated. Another low
may affect the region late in the week, followed by a cold front
next weekend.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph late in
                    the morning and this afternoon.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL increasing to 4900-6200 ft AGL late
                    in the morning.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   2   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............40  45  50  54  58  60  63  64  64  64
RH..............59  49  41  36  32  29  27  28  28  28
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   5   5   5   6   6   6   7
20 FT wind gust.                        10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 0.7 4.9 4.9 4.9 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.0

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 37.
Max humidity........67 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL decreasing to 100-200 ft AGL early
                    in the evening.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........5   5   6   8   13  14  23  25  28  27  25  21
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............62  59  55  52  50  47  45  44  42  41  40  39
RH..............30  33  38  46  52  56  58  57  60  59  64  67
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   5   5   3   3   3   3   2   2   1
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  8   6   6   6   6   4       2
Mix hgt (kft)...6.0 6.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance
                    of rain in the late morning. Chance of rain
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 40 percent.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 9 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......100-800 ft AGL increasing to 4400-5000 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........26  30  36  45  53  62  71  80  88  90  92  94
Weather cov.....                SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   20  20  20  20  40  40  40  40
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   20  20  20  20  40  40  40  40
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............39  39  43  45  47  49  51  54  56  56  57  56
RH..............70  73  67  65  63  63  61  57  55  55  55  57
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..1   2   2   5   6   7   8   8   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.2   4   5   7   10  11  12  13  13  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.8 4.4 4.4 4.4 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.4

$$

Forecaster...Robertson
Requested by...Shawn Turner
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1807365.1/PHI
.EMAIL shturner@pa.gov


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