Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
Versions:
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FNUS71 KALY 190857
FWSALY
Spot Forecast for APB HOFFMAN/ HASENPFEFFER RX...Albany Pine Bush
National Weather Service Albany NY
457 AM EDT Sun May 19 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on May 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure builds in today with partly to mostly
sunny skies and temperatures rising to near to slightly above normal
readings. After a cool morning Monday, expect temperatures to rise
well above normal Monday afternoon into Wednesday with a warm air
mass building in. A cold front will bring increasing chances for
showers and thunderstorms late Wednesday into Thursday.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms after 0800.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Dewpoint............53.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 2 to 6 mph shifting to the east
around 5 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2300 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to fair (21600 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........39 43 37 31 25 26 27 28 35 42 49 40
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............M M 1 M M 1 M M 1 M M 1
Temp............55 57 61 64 67 70 72 74 76 77 77 77
Dewpoint........53 54 54 54 54 54 54 54 54 54 53 53
RH..............93 90 78 70 63 57 53 50 46 45 43 43
20 FT wind dir..N N N N NE NE NE E SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..1 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.2 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.3 1.8 2.5 3.2 3.9 4.5 5.1 5.3 5.4 5.2 4.6
Transp wind dir.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E
Transp wind spd.2 3 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5
LVORI...........7 6 4 3 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 2
Haines index....3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2 4 7 11 16 19 21 22 21 21 21 18
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms after 2000.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Dewpoint............53.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening and
overnight becoming light.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south 8
to 10 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (13400 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (2800 knot-ft) late in the
night.
LVORI...............5.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........31 22 18 13 9 10 10 10 14 18 22 20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............M M 1 M M 1 M M 1 M M 1
Temp............75 73 70 67 64 62 61 59 57 56 55 54
Dewpoint........53 53 53 53 53 53 53 53 53 53 53 53
RH..............46 49 55 61 67 72 75 80 86 90 93 96
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3
20 FT wind gust.7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 1.9 0.7 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.5 5 6 7 9 10 10 10 9 9 8 8
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 6 6 6 8
Haines index....4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..13 8 3 3 4 5 5 5 4 4 3 3
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms after 0800.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Dewpoint............55.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph late in
the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4100 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (31100 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........18 16 14 23 20 18 15 18 21 24 28 31
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............M M 1 M M 1 M M 1 M M 1
Temp............54 57 62 66 70 74 77 80 82 82 83 83
Dewpoint........54 54 55 55 56 56 56 57 57 57 56 56
RH..............100 90 78 68 61 53 48 45 43 43 40 40
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5
20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.9 1.3 1.8 2.4 3.0 3.7 4.4 4.9 5.0 4.9 4.4
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.8 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8
LVORI...........8 5 4 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1
Haines index....2 2 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 6 8 10 12 15 18 21 24 28 31 31
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
$$
Forecaster...Wasula
Requested by...Tyler Briggs
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414637.0/ALY
.DELDT 05/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tbriggs@albanypinebush.org