Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
058 FNUS53 KAPX 030844 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 444 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024 ...Showers end today... .DISCUSSION...A cold front crosses the area early today. Showers and a few thunderstorms will continue early on, but then end from west to east. The sun will come out a couple of hours after the showers end. Rain will exit the northeast lower Michigan coast by late afternoon. Winds will become westerly behind the front, though remain on the light side. Quiet weather is expected tonight and Saturday. East to southeast winds will become a touch gusty on Saturday, especially in northwest lower Michigan. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-032200- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 444 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent) until 1200, then mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms until 1200, then scattered rain showers. Max Temperature.....64-69...except 52-57 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Min Humidity........38-43 percent...except 51-56 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 4 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (285). Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.18 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Patchy fog after 2400. Min Temperature.....43-48. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........80-85 percent...except 64-69 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 22 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the east after midnight. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (15). Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog until 1200. Max Temperature.....72-77...except 51-56 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........31-36 percent. 24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 20 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (535). Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-032200- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 444 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent) until 1200, then partly sunny (45-55 percent). Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms until 1200, then scattered rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....65-70...except 51-56 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........45-50 percent...except 54-59 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (239). Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph shifting to the west around 12 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.19 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Patchy fog after 2400. Min Temperature.....38-43. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........89-94 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 16 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (17). Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until 1200. Max Temperature.....67-72...except around 50 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer...except 7 degrees cooler near the coast. Min Humidity........41-46 percent...except 52-57 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph . Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (268). Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ020-025>027-032200- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 444 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 1200, then mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms until 1200. Max Temperature.....65-70...except around 51 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler. Min Humidity........33-38 percent. 24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 14 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (282). Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.19 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Min Temperature.....43-48. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........71-76 percent...except 58-63 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......22 percent drier...except 30 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the east after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (13). Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the southeast after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Max Temperature.....71-76...except 44-49 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........32-37 percent. 24 HR Trend......3 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (524). Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ031>033-032200- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 444 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 1200, then mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms until 1200. Max Temperature.....67-72...except around 61 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 5 degrees cooler near the coast. Min Humidity........28-33 percent...except 45-50 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 8 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (425). Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.19 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent). Min Temperature.....43-48. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........73-78 percent...except 59-64 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......23 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 16 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (14). Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the east after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max Temperature.....73-78...except 60-65 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........34-39 percent. 24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except unchanged along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (535). Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-032200- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 444 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent) until 1200, then partly sunny (45-55 percent). Rain showers until 1200. Chance of thunderstorms. Scattered rain showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....67-72. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Min Humidity........34-39 percent. 24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (404). Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph shifting to the northwest around 12 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.19 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Patchy fog after 2400. Min Temperature.....42-47. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........84-89 percent. 24 HR Trend......8 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 16 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (18). Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until 1200. Max Temperature.....71-76. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........32-37 percent. 24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph . Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (426). Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. $$ JZ