242
FNUS53 KDTX 080709
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
309 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

.DISCUSSION...Warmer (around 70 north to lower 80s south) and drying
out today, as min RH falls to 30 to 40 percent across most of
southeast Michigan. It will be breezy however, with gust sof 25-35
mph. A low pressure system will bring the next chance for rain to
the area Thursday. Northeast winds on Thursday will contribute to
much cooler temperatures in the 50s.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-082115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
309 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....68-74.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6040-6540 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph becoming northwest 20 to 25
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1396).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers after 5 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....44-50.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........79-88 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (38).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....52-56.
   24 hr trend......18 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......25 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2080-2580 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (530).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-082115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
309 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....66-72.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph increasing to around 20 mph
                    in the late morning and early afternoon, then
                    becoming northwest early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5960-6460 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph increasing to around 30 mph
                    in the late morning and early afternoon, then
                    becoming northwest around 20 mph early in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1595).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min temperature.....40-46.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......880-1080 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph becoming east after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (25).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Max temperature.....52-56.
   24 hr trend......20 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........60-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1910-2410 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (389).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-082115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
309 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....76-80.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........26-36 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6620-7120 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph increasing to 20 to 25 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1675).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 am, then
                    cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of showers
                    after 5 am. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....46-50.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........75-85 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph becoming around 10 mph
                    after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......540-740 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph becoming east in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (30).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely
                    until 5 pm, then chance of showers. Chance
                    of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....56-60.
   24 hr trend......23 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......30 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1880-2380 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (472).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the lower 60s. North winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. West winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs around 70.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower
70s.

$$

SF