029
FNUS53 KDTX 021951
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
351 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024

.DISCUSSION...Light winds remain southeasterly through the evening,
veering to the southwest Friday morning as a warm front lifts into
SE MI and veering again to the northwest in the afternoon as a cold
front tracks through. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be
possible in the morning with renewed development possible in the
afternoon- evening as the cold front drifts across the area. MinRH
values Friday and Saturday of 55 to 65 percent reflect the humid
airmass that will be in place, although drier weather is anticipated
for Saturday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-022115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
351 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 am until 5 am. Chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2 am. Rain showers likely
                    after 5 am. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....50-54.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........77-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph diminishing to around 5
                    mph after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......820-1020 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (16).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Rain showers likely after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....66-70.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South around 5 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1880-2380 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph becoming west in the late
                    morning and early afternoon, then becoming
                    north early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (329).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....50-54.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........86-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......660-860 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....64-70.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2960-3460 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (285).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-022115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
351 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers after 2 am until 5 am. Slight
                    chance of thunderstorms after 2 am. Chance of
                    showers after 5 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....46-52.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........82-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph diminishing to around 5
                    mph after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......820-1020 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 15 mph becoming south in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (22).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms. Rain
                    showers likely after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....66-72.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........60-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 10 mph becoming south in the
                    late morning and early afternoon, then becoming
                    northwest early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1620-2120 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph becoming southwest in the
                    late morning and early afternoon, then becoming
                    north early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (182).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of showers.
                    Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....46-52.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........89-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......620-820 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....62-68.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........54-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2680-3180 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph becoming southeast early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (277).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-022115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
351 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....50-56.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........79-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......760-960 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (16).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Rain showers likely after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....72-76.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........54-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South around 5 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1780-2280 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph becoming southwest in
                    the late morning and early afternoon, then
                    becoming northwest early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (226).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of thunderstorms
                    until 11 pm. Chance of showers. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....54-58.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........86-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......860-1060 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....68-74.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........53-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph becoming around 10 mph early
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2780-3280 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph becoming southeast early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (275).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. West
winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper
60s. East winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows around 50. Highs in
the mid 70s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 50s.
Highs in the lower 70s.

$$

MV