Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
073 FNUS22 KWNS 041651 FWDDY2 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1150 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FAR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA INTO CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST NEW MEXICO... Only minor changes have been made to the ongoing forecast to expand the critical area to include northwest New Mexico. The meteorological reasoning remains the same as below. ..Marsh.. 05/04/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024/ ...Synopsis... A stronger trough will approach the Four Corners on Sunday. As this occurs, a deep surface low will develop in the northern Rockies/High Plains with a trough extending into the southern High Plains. ...Southwest... Surface winds will increase through the day as the surface low/trough deepens. This, in combination with the approach of stronger mid-level winds during the afternoon, will promote elevated to critical fire weather from parts of eastern Arizona into much of central New Mexico. RH of 10-15% will be common with some localized single digit values possible. Winds of 15-25 mph will also be possible--higher speeds being more likely in terrain-favored areas. The eastern extent of the fire weather threat will be determined by how far west moisture pushes as well as where precipitation falls on Saturday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$