Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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Issued by NWS
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009 ACUS11 KWNS 010145 SWOMCD SPC MCD 010144 MOZ000-KSZ000-010315- Mesoscale Discussion 0584 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0844 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024 Areas affected...Northern/Western Missouri Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 166... Valid 010144Z - 010315Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 166 continues. SUMMARY...A few strong/severe storms will linger, mainly across northern Missouri this evening. DISCUSSION...Convective trends are down early this evening, partly due to cooling boundary-layer conditions. Convection that developed along/ahead of the cold front/dryline has advanced east-southeast across the instability axis. This activity is encountering a less buoyant environment and updrafts are gradually weakening. Latest trends suggest convection near the IA border may linger a bit longer, primarily due to the southern influence of the upper MS Valley short-wave trough. Even so, marginally severe hail may become the primary risk over the next hour or so. ..Darrow.. 05/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...SGF...EAX...TOP... LAT...LON 38129544 40539430 40549200 38109323 38129544