Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS72 KMLB 290838
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for RL1 Rx Fire...SJRWMD
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
438 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on March 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
With Min RH values forecast to fall into the mid to upper 30s
this afternoon, fire sensitive conditions may develop. Light
northerly winds gradually veer north-northeast, increasing to
around 10-15 mph by late morning, with gusts around 20 mph later
today. Smoke dispersion values will become generally good by late
morning and persist through the afternoon.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 7 to 12 mph shifting to the
                    northeast late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL increasing to 5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 54.
LVORI...............5 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  9   7   6   5   4   3   2   2   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............57  63  69  72  75  77  77  78  77  76
RH..............90  72  59  53  46  40  39  37  37  39
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..7   8   9   10  12  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.            14  16  16  16  16  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 1.2 2.8 4.0 5.0 5.5 5.9 5.8 5.4 5.0
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.10  12  13  14  14  13  12  12  12  12
Dispersion idx..7   20  46  57  58  57  55  52  51  50
LVORI...........5   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....52 decreasing to 5.
LVORI...............1 increasing to 6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........2      3      4      5      6      5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............74     66     61     59     56     55
RH..............43     58     72     78     86     90
20 ft wind......N 10   NE 7   NE 5   NE 5   NE 3   N 3
20 ft wind gust.14
Mix hgt (ft)....4000   500    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..NE 12  NE 10  NE 9   NE 8   NE 7   NE 7
Dispersion idx..52     6      5      4      3      3
LVORI...........1      3      3      4      6      6

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 9 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL increasing to 5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 8 mph shifting to the southeast 8 to
                    10 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 51.
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........11        20        8         19
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............55        61        76        79
RH..............86        72        45        41
20 FT wind......N 2       E 3G5     E 6G8     E 9G10
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1700      4800      5000
Transport wind..NE 6      E 6       E 8       SE 9
Dispersion idx..3         14        43        51
LVORI...........6         3         1         1

$$
Forecaster...Schaper
Requested by...Jonathan Baker
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408733.0/MLB
.DELDT 03/29/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jabaker@sjrwmd.com


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