816
FNUS72 KMLB 300858
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for SFWMD - KCOL Gardner Marsh / Cypress Lake...SFWMD
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
458 AM EDT Tue Apr 30 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on April 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Moisture will gradually increase through the day.
Light and sometimes variable 20-foot winds will transition
east-southeast as the east coast sea breeze passes the burn site
late in the afternoon or early evening. Transport winds will also
have a degree of variability. There will be a slight chance for
showers and lightning storms, mainly in the (late) afternoon and
evening.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon,
                    especially late.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1400, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east-southeast 7 to 9 mph
                    late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL increasing to 7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Variable 7 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....Increasing to around 58.
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........23  26  29  32  35  38  42  45  53  60  68
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH SCH CHC
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  30
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
Temp............67  68  73  78  80  84  85  86  86  85  85
RH..............93  90  76  64  60  51  48  45  45  48  50
20 FT wind dir..E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE  E   E
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   8
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.6 1.9 3.3 4.5 5.8 6.5 7.0 7.1 6.8 5.7
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   W   W   NW  NE  E
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   8   8   8   7   7   7   8   9
Dispersion idx..8   10  22  34  46  50  54  58  58  57  57
LVORI...........6   5   4   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers early in the evening. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 2300, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph shifting to the southeast 6
                    to 9 mph late in the evening.
Dispersion index....41 decreasing to around 3.
LVORI...............1 increasing to 8.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........67     65     62     54     39     40
Weather cov.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30     20     20     10     0      0
LAL.............2      2      2      1      1      1
Temp............84     77     73     70     70     69
RH..............53     71     84     93     93     93
20 ft wind......E 8    E 8    SE 7   SE 6   SE 5   S 3
20 ft wind gust.
Mix hgt (ft)....3700   600    900    1000   500    500
Transport wind..E 10   E 10   SE 10  SE 8   SE 7   S 6
Dispersion idx..41     9      7      5      3      3
LVORI...........1      3      5      6      6      8

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1400, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds becoming easterly around
                    7 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL increasing to 7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 6 mph shifting to the northwest
                    5 to 8 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to around 57.
LVORI...............8 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........39        32        26        27
Weather cov.....                              CHANCE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                              S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0         10        10        30
LAL.............1         1         1         2
Temp............68        73        83        87
RH..............97        84        55        42
20 FT wind......S 2       SW 3      W 5       NE 6
Mix hgt (ft)....600       1600      4500      7000
Transport wind..S 6       SW 5      NW 5      N 6
Dispersion idx..4         10        26        48
LVORI...........8         4         2         1

$$
Forecaster...Sedlock
Requested by...Jim Blush
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412717.0/MLB
.DELDT 04/30/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jblush@sfwmd.gov