Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FNUS74 KMOB 251007
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for GUIS Naval Live Oaks...National Park Service
National Weather Service Mobile AL
507 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on April 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Light northerly winds at sunrise will shift to southeast to
southerly by this afternoon as high pressure east of the burn site kicks in.
Cooler onshore flow will limit mixing layer height, and with that, limit limit
dispersions to fair at best. Relative humidity values are expected to remain
will above critical values.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north around 5 mph late in
                    the morning, then becoming light late in the
                    morning becoming south 6 to 12 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...183-488 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 6 mph shifting to the northeast
                    around 6 mph late in the morning, then shifting
                    to the south 9 to 14 mph in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.North around 2 meters/second becoming 2 to 3
                    meters/second late in the morning, then
                    shifting to the northeast around 3
                    meters/second late in the morning shifting to
                    the south 4 to 6 meters/second in the
                    afternoon.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 28 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........11  8   9   11  11  11  12  12  13  13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............68  71  73  76  76  76  77  77  77  76
RH..............90  81  76  69  69  69  69  69  69  71
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NNE SE  S   S   S   SSW SSW SSW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   5   7   9   12  13  13  13
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   7   10  14  16  18  18  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.1
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.NNW NNW NNW NE  S   S   S   S   S   SSW
Transp wind spd.5   5   6   6   9   10  12  13  14  13
Trans wind dir..NNW NNW NNW NE  S   S   S   S   S   SSW
Trans spd (m/s).2   2   3   3   4   4   5   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..5   8   11  14  18  24  27  26  25  25
LVORI...........6   4   3   3   3   3   2   2   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light, then becoming south
                    around 5 mph early in the morning.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...183-335 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....25 decreasing to 5.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........13  26  22  22  25  26  30  35  36  41  46  49
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............76  73  72  72  72  71  71  71  69  69  69  68
RH..............71  79  81  81  81  84  84  84  87  87  87  90
20 FT wind dir..SSW SW  SW  SW  SW  SSW SSW SSW SSW S   S   SSE
20 FT wind spd..12  10  9   8   7   7   6   6   6   6   5   6
20 FT wind gust.17  15  13  12  10  9   9   9   8   8   7   8
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.SSW SW  SW  SW  SW  SSW SSW SSW S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.13  12  10  10  9   8   8   7   7   7   7   8
Trans wind dir..SSW SW  SW  SW  SW  SSW SSW SSW S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).6   5   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   4
Dispersion idx..25  6   5   5   4   4   3   3   3   3   4   4
LVORI...........3   4   4   4   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   7

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...183-579 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 12 mph increasing to 14 to 18
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 3 to 8 meters/second increasing to 6
                    to 8 meters/second in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 45.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........52  55  57  55  54  53  54  54  54  55  55  56
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............68  69  71  72  73  75  76  76  76  76  76  75
RH..............90  87  84  81  76  74  71  69  69  71  74  76
20 FT wind dir..SE  ESE ESE ESE SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   6   8   10  14  15  16  16  15  15  14  14
20 FT wind gust.8   9   12  16  20  23  23  23  23  22  21  21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.6
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SSE ESE ESE ESE SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE SSE
Transp wind spd.6   7   12  16  17  18  18  18  17  16  15  14
Trans wind dir..SSE ESE ESE ESE SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE SSE
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   5   7   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   6
Dispersion idx..4   8   16  25  35  42  44  44  44  41  38  38
LVORI...........7   6   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...16
Requested by...Robert Vick
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412343.0/MOB
.DELDT 04/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL scworthi@gmail.com,Robert_Vick@nps.gov
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