Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
000
FXUS64 KSHV 280219
AFDSHV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
919 PM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024
...New UPDATE...
.UPDATE...
Issued at 916 PM GMT Wed Mar 27 2024
Looking at observations versus the inherited forecast and I don`t
see too many things needed to change right now other than a few
minor adjustments for current trends. Otherwise looks for skies to
clear overnight with temperatures ranging from the mid 30s to mid
40s across the region. /33/
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday Night)
Issued at 245 PM GMT Wed Mar 27 2024
Relatively quiet and cooler than normal weather will continue
through the next 36 hours across the Four State Region. This is
due to post-frontal surface ridging that will gradually make its
way south from the Great Plains, maintaining northeasterly winds.
Cloud cover will continue to slowly decrease after a shortwave
passes eastward, allowing for temperature maximums in the
upper 60s/70s and minimums in the 30s/40s. /16/
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 245 PM GMT Wed Mar 27 2024
Even quieter weather is expected through the weekend before some
chances of precipitation arrive early next week. This is due to
surface ridging that continues to linger across the Four State
Region before shifting east across the Mississippi River. By
Saturday, southerly surface winds return, boosting warm air
advection and gradual warming trends toward temperature maximums
in the 80s (above average for this time of the year) as a result.
By Monday, the next trough and frontal boundary will be on its way
across Great Plains to introduce the next chance of rain through
the day into Tuesday. That said, paltry precipitation amounts are
still expected with Day 1-7 QPF values in the 0.10 to 0.50-inch
territory areawide. Post-frontal temperature maximums and
minimums by the middle of next week will return to the 70s and 50s
respectively (still slightly above normal for this time of the
year). /16/
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 633 PM GMT Wed Mar 27 2024
Scattered convection is moving through Central Texas and could
possibly affect portions of East Texas early in the TAF period if
it can maintain itself. However, latest thinking is that these
showers and storms should dissipate before reaching our area.
Otherwise, VFR flight conditions should prevail at all TAF sites.
Abundant high clouds will persist but should gradually become
more scattered in coverage by daybreak. Winds should veer to the
east before becoming southerly or southeasterly during the day
Thursday. Wind speeds should remain below 10 kts.
CN
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV 43 71 51 79 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 40 68 43 76 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 37 68 44 75 / 10 0 0 0
TXK 40 69 49 77 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 37 69 44 75 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 44 71 53 77 / 10 0 0 0
GGG 43 71 51 78 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 44 74 50 79 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...09