Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
478
FNUS53 KMQT 031004
FWFMQT
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UPPER MICHIGAN
National Weather Service Marquette MI
604 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024
...Breezy and Very Dry Today...
.DISCUSSION: Clouds and patchy fog diminish this morning resulting
in abundant sunshine today that allows for deep mixing into a very
dry layer aloft. In addition to being dry, this layer also has
strong winds indicating quite a bit of gustiness this afternoon.
The strongest winds spread across the northwest half of the UP
where gusts to around 30 mph are forecast, but there is potential
for higher gusts especially for our northwestern tier of counties.
The areas that experience the driest/breeziest conditions today
might also have poor nocturnal recovery tonight before rain
chances arrive Saturday morning. Saturday`s cool front and
associated rain chances should be delayed until the afternoon across
the central UP and the evening across the eastern UP. Therefore,
Saturday`s forecast appears to be trending toward dry and breezy
weather across the eastern UP. A longer stretch of dry weather is
expected next Sunday - Tuesday with potential for strong southeast
winds accompanying dry conditions on Tuesday.
MIZ001-003-041015-
Keweenaw-Northern Houghton-
Including the cities of Copper Harbor, Houghton, and Hancock
604 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....61-66 inland to around 58 at the shore.
24 hr trend......16 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
24 hr trend......40 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 17 to 22 mph with gusts to around 30 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........9.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. A
slight chance of rain showers late. Chance of
showers 20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 42.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........80-85 percent inland to 76 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
through midnight.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.02 inch.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Chance
of showers 50 percent.
Max temperature.....54-59 inland to around 53 at the shore.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
north 6 to 11 mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.08 inch.
Hours of Sun........2.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ002-009-084-041015-
Ontonagon-Gogebic-Southern Houghton-
Including the cities of Ontonagon, Ironwood, Kenton, and Sidnaw
604 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024 /504 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 68 inland to around 60 at the shore.
24 hr trend......21 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........26-31 percent inland to 35 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......48 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30
mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........10.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........79-84 percent inland to 73 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph shifting to the south 5
to 10 mph late.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Chance
of showers 50 percent.
Max temperature.....60-65 inland to around 55 at the shore.
Min humidity........39-44 percent inland to 58 percent at the
shore.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
northwest by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........0.03-0.12 inch.
Hours of Sun........3.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ004-005-041015-
Baraga-Marquette-
Including the cities of L`Anse, Gwinn, and Marquette
604 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
24 hr trend......19 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........27-32 percent.
24 hr trend......53 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 12 to 17 mph decreasing to 7 to 12 mph by
mid afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........10.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........80-85 percent inland to 71 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers by late
morning. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Max temperature.....64-69 inland to around 59 at the shore.
Min humidity........32-37 percent inland to 42 percent at the
shore.
20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
through early afternoon.
PCPN amount.........0.03-0.12 inch.
Hours of Sun........4.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ010-011-041015-
Iron-Dickinson-
Including the cities of Iron River and Iron Mountain
504 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
24 hr trend......19 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........24-29 percent.
24 hr trend......51 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 9 to 14 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........10.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 42.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Chance
of showers 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
southwest 6 to 11 mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........0.06-0.14 inch.
Hours of Sun........3.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ012-041015-
Menominee-
Including the city of Menominee
504 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
24 hr trend......18 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........27-32 percent inland to 36 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......43 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest 6 to
11 mph by mid afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........11.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........90-95 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming cloudy. A chance of
rain showers by mid afternoon. Chance of
showers 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........33-38 percent inland to 44 percent at the
shore.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.08-0.18 inch.
Hours of Sun........4.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ006-007-085-041015-
Alger-Luce-Northern Schoolcraft-
Including the cities of Grand Marais, Munising, Newberry,
and Seney
604 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming sunny. Patchy fog
early. A chance of rain showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms early. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67 inland to around 59 at the shore.
24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
24 hr trend......27 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 7 to 12 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.05 inch.
Hours of Sun........9.
LAL.................2 until 1100, then 1.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........93-98 percent inland to 81 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers by mid
afternoon. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69 inland to around 63 at the shore.
Min humidity........32-37 percent.
20-foot winds.......South 8 to 13 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.05 inch.
Hours of Sun........5.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ013-041015-
Delta-
Including the cities of Escanaba and Gladstone
604 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 70 inland to around 59 at the shore.
24 hr trend......17 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........31-36 percent inland to 42 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......39 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest 8 to
13 mph by mid afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........10.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming cloudy. A chance of
rain showers by mid afternoon. Chance of
showers 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69 inland to around 62 at the shore.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 7 to 12 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.09 inch.
Hours of Sun........4.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ014-095-041015-
Southern Schoolcraft-Western Mackinac-
Including the cities of Manistique and Engadine
604 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming sunny. Patchy fog
early. A chance of rain showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms early. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 66 inland to around 60 at the shore.
24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........42-47 percent inland to 54 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest 6 to
11 mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.13 inch.
Hours of Sun........9.
LAL.................2 until 1100, then 1.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........96-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers by mid
afternoon. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 68 inland to around 61 at the shore.
Min humidity........33-38 percent inland to 42 percent at the
shore.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 7 to 12 mph with gusts to
around 20 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.04 inch.
Hours of Sun........5.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ096-097-041015-
Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Including the cities of St. Ignace and Mackinac Island
604 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly sunny.
Patchy fog early. Rain showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms early, then a slight
chance of rain showers by late morning. Chance
of precipitation 90 percent.
Max temperature.....59-64.
24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph shifting to the west 5 to
10 mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........0.08-0.16 inch.
Hours of Sun........6.
LAL.................3 until 1100, then 1.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........98-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph shifting to the southeast
late.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....64-69 inland to around 60 at the shore.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 9 to 14 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........5.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ088-041015-
Southeast Chippewa-
Including the city of Drummond
604 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Patchy fog
through early afternoon. Rain showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms early. A slight
chance of rain showers by late morning. A
slight chance of thunderstorms by early
afternoon. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Max temperature.....58-63.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 20 mph
shifting to the west 6 to 11 mph by mid
afternoon.
PCPN amount.........0.09-0.23 inch.
Hours of Sun........5.
LAL.................3 until 1100, then 1 until 1400, then 2 until
1700, then 1.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........97-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast
late.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....60-65.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 7 to 12 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........5.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ086-087-041015-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-
Including the cities of Eckerman and Sault Ste. Marie
604 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly sunny.
Patchy fog early. Rain showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms early, then a slight
chance of rain showers by late morning. Chance
of precipitation 90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 64 inland to around 56 at the shore.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 20
mph shifting to the west 7 to 12 mph by mid
afternoon.
PCPN amount.........0.02-0.19 inch.
Hours of Sun........7.
LAL.................2 until 1100, then 1.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........96-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph shifting to the southeast
late.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
late. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Max temperature.....66-71 inland to around 63 at the shore.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch.
Hours of Sun........5.
LAL.................1.
$$
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Scattered early morning showers east then becoming sunny.
Lows 37 to 42. Highs 61 to 66 inland to around 53 at the shore.
Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows around 38. Highs 67 to 72 inland to around
58 at the shore. Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around
20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Rain showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms
late. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Lows 43 to 48. Highs
64 to 69 inland to around 58 at the shore. Southeast winds 15 to
20 mph with gusts to around 30 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Lows around
46. Highs 66 to 71 inland to around 55 at the shore.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Lows around 43. Highs 60 to 65 inland to around 53 at
the shore.
.Outlook for Fri May 10 through Thu May 16...expect near normal
temperatures and near normal precipitation.
$$
...................Smoke Management Forecast data....................
The following values are for 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) today:
Haines Mixing Transport Ventilation
WIMS ID/ Site/ Index / Height / Winds / Index
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 5 MODERATE / 5900 / W 19 / 1121 (E)
200301 / KENTON/ 5 MODERATE / 7600 / W 37 / 2812 (E)
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 5 MODERATE / 7800 / W 36 / 2808 (E)
201004 / MUNISING/ 6 HIGH / 3700 / W 12 / 444 (G)
201002 / DOE LAKE/ 6 HIGH / 4900 / W 14 / 686 (E)
201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 5 MODERATE / 4800 / W 16 / 768 (E)
200703 / GWINN/ 5 MODERATE / 6500 / W 25 / 1625 (E)
200903 / LABRANCHE/ 5 MODERATE / 6300 / W 20 / 1260 (E)
200503 / PELKIE/ 5 MODERATE / 7200 / W 35 / 2520 (E)
201504 / RACO/ 5 MODERATE / 3400 / W 12 / 408 (G)
200802 / RANDVILLE/ 5 MODERATE / 7100 / W 28 / 1988 (E)
201401 / REXTON/ 5 MODERATE / 3800 / W 13 / 494 (G)
201505 / RUDYARD/ 4 LOW / 3300 / W 13 / 429 (G)
201202 / SENEY/ 5 MODERATE / 4400 / W 13 / 572 (G)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 5 MODERATE / 4000 / W 12 / 480 (G)
201102 / STONINGTON/ 5 MODERATE / 4900 / W 16 / 784 (E)
200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 6 HIGH / 6000 / W 37 / 2220 (E)
200103 / WATERSMEET/ 6 HIGH / 7400 / W 36 / 2664 (E)
/DRUMND ISLAND/ 2 VERY LOW / 1100 / W 14 / 154 (F)
/ KEW/ 6 HIGH / 3500 / W 34 / 1190 (E)
THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) Sat...
Haines Mixing Transport Ventilation
WIMS ID/ Site/ Index / Height / Winds / Index
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 4 LOW / 3400 / S 20 / 680 (E)
200301 / KENTON/ 5 MODERATE / 4600 / S 13 / 598 (G)
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 6 HIGH / 5200 / S 19 / 988 (E)
201004 / MUNISING/ 5 MODERATE / 300 / S 27 / 81 (P)
201002 / DOE LAKE/ 5 MODERATE / 3300 / S 26 / 858 (E)
201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 5 MODERATE / 3200 / SE 25 / 800 (E)
200703 / GWINN/ 5 MODERATE / 4600 / S 28 / 1288 (E)
200903 / LABRANCHE/ 5 MODERATE / 4600 / S 25 / 1150 (E)
200503 / PELKIE/ 5 MODERATE / 4000 / S 12 / 480 (G)
201504 / RACO/ 5 MODERATE / 3300 / SE 29 / 957 (E)
200802 / RANDVILLE/ 5 MODERATE / 5700 / S 24 / 1368 (E)
201401 / REXTON/ 5 MODERATE / 3200 / SE 31 / 992 (E)
201505 / RUDYARD/ 4 LOW / 2800 / SE 29 / 812 (E)
201202 / SENEY/ 5 MODERATE / 4000 / SE 28 / 1120 (E)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 5 MODERATE / 4000 / SE 27 / 1080 (E)
201102 / STONINGTON/ 5 MODERATE / 2700 / S 24 / 648 (E)
200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 3 VERY LOW / 2800 / SW 3 / 84 (P)
200103 / WATERSMEET/ 4 LOW / 5300 / S 18 / 954 (E)
/DRUMND ISLAND/ 5 MODERATE / 1200 / SE 26 / 312 (G)
/ KEW/ 5 MODERATE / 700 / S 10 / 70 (P)
Note: Mixing heights are in feet above ground level
Transport winds are in miles per hour
.....................................................................
The following is point forecast information valid at 1 PM EST.
Note that the QPF is from 7 AM to 1 PM EST. Also, wind speeds have
been reduced by a factor of 0.7 by the request of local fire officials.
WIMS ID/ Site/Temp/ RH/WSPD/WGST/WDIR/ QPF
---------------------------------------------------
471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 69/ 33/ 7/ 14/ W/0.00
200301 / KENTON/ 66/ 32/ 11/ 18/ W/0.00
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 66/ 33/ 12/ 18/ W/0.00
201004 / MUNISING/ 61/ 51/ 5/ 7/ W/0.00
201002 / DOE LAKE/ 64/ 43/ 6/ 12/ W/0.00
201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 65/ 42/ 6/ 11/ W/0.00
200703 / GWINN/ 66/ 33/ 9/ 15/ W/0.00
200903 / LABRANCHE/ 67/ 33/ 8/ 14/ W/0.00
200503 / PELKIE/ 66/ 36/ 12/ 18/ W/0.00
201504 / RACO/ 61/ 58/ 4/ 9/ W/0.08
200802 / RANDVILLE/ 67/ 30/ 9/ 17/ W/0.00
201401 / REXTON/ 63/ 56/ 5/ 10/ W/0.06
201505 / RUDYARD/ 61/ 64/ 5/ 8/ NW/0.09
201202 / SENEY/ 64/ 48/ 6/ 10/ W/0.01
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 64/ 49/ 6/ 11/ W/0.01
201102 / STONINGTON/ 66/ 42/ 6/ 10/ SW/0.00
200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 63/ 37/ 12/ 20/ SW/0.00
200103 / WATERSMEET/ 64/ 30/ 10/ 18/ W/0.00
/DRUMND ISLAND/ 54/ 80/ 4/ 8/ W/0.23
/ KEW/ 60/ 45/ 13/ 20/ W/0.00
$$
EK