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000
FNUS71 KBTV 251123
FWSBTV

Spot Forecast for Tarbellville and Beaver Meadows Rx...USFS
National Weather Service Burlington VT
723 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (802) 658-0207, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Temperatures are presently in the low to mid 20s. Relative
humidity values recovered to around 75 to 85 percent overnight.
Precipitation amounts in the region yesterday were close to a
tenth of an inch give or take a few hundredths. Abundant sunshine
and dry conditions will allow temperatures to quickly warm into
the mid to upper 40s. Mainly northwest flow is expected at 5 to 10
mph. Winds are not expected to be very gusty today, but a 15 mph
could take place. Based on the topography, winds could turn more
northerly at times during the afternoon. By noon, relative
humidity should be below 30 percent and with slow recovery after
sunset.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 47.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   0   1   1   2   1   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............30  34  38  41  43  45  46  47  47
RH..............46  38  29  26  24  22  22  22  23
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   10  10  10  9   9   7
20 FT wind gust.13  14  14  16  15  15  15  14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 2.4 2.7 3.4 3.9 4.3 4.6 4.7 4.7
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   NW  N   NW  N   NW  NW
Transp wind spd.13  13  13  13  14  14  15  14  12
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 22.
Max humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 10 mph shifting to the northeast
                    5 to 6 mph late in the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............46  43  41  37  34  31  29  27  25  23  22  22
RH..............25  29  34  40  45  51  53  57  60  65  68  68
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  N   N   N   NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.10  8   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...4.4 3.1 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.10  8   6   7   6   6   6   6   5   6   5   5
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 6 mph early
                    in the afternoon, then increasing to 6 to 7 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 6 mph shifting to the northwest
                    5 to 8 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   2   2   2   2   3   3   4   5   4   4   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............23  26  30  36  41  46  50  52  54  55  56  56
RH..............65  57  51  40  34  28  25  24  23  23  22  23
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   NE  NE  N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   2   2   3   5   5   5   6   6   7
20 FT wind gust.3   3   5   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.8 3.2 4.2 4.8 5.4 5.6 5.8 5.6 5.4 5.2
Transp wind dir.NE  E   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.5   5   6   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   8   8
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...Haynes
Requested by...Ryan Hughes
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411470.5/BTV
.DELDT 04/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL eric.hughes@usda.gov